Spike bucket
08/13/2026, 2:38:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/13/2026, 2:38:00 A.M. to 08/13/2026, 2:39:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 1,798.32
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 24% of explained volume
Relative context
0.2x above local average
0.1x previous minute
0.6x next minute
Interpretation
Visible rows explain most of the spike, with no single transfer dominating.
The visible flow is broad and internally consistent.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
9
Observable rows
9
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
12
Asset volume
1,798.32 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752 • 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + high confidence + 1798 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752 • 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 9 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 08/13/2026, 2:38:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 9 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
Net sender
Unknown type
753.19 QUAI across 3 visible rows
0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
Net sender
Unknown type
665.02 QUAI across 3 visible rows
0x005b603C8D33511c6DF524BE933365e1AF0Df9Cc
Net receiver
Unknown type
427.75 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x003cEe495B0e567616aF202314b78c9596453303
Net receiver
Unknown type
389.27 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
Net sender
Unknown type
380.11 QUAI across 3 visible rows
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
10 tx
3,650.86 QUAI • 20 addresses
08/13/2026, 2:37:46 A.M.
+1 min
15 tx
3,243.86 QUAI • 28 addresses
08/13/2026, 2:39:07 A.M.
-2 min
Best candidate33 tx
28,549.21 QUAI • 45 addresses
08/13/2026, 2:36:26 A.M.
+2 min
6 tx
8,563.6 QUAI • 16 addresses
08/13/2026, 2:40:26 A.M.
-3 min
3 tx
2,703.02 QUAI • 16 addresses
08/13/2026, 2:35:15 A.M.
-4 min
6 tx
7,608.96 QUAI • 17 addresses
08/13/2026, 2:33:56 A.M.
+4 min
15 tx
6,361.22 QUAI • 27 addresses
08/13/2026, 2:41:45 A.M.
-5 min
9 tx
9,096.99 QUAI • 20 addresses
08/13/2026, 2:32:37 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
427.75 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/13/2026, 2:38:08 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x005b603C8D33511c6DF524BE933365e1AF0Df9Cc
All transfers in this selected minute
9 transactions
85.86 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/13/2026, 2:38:24 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x0040229c8A405cb5fE47F810C52A04382e0C10b0
Tx: 0x007d00154c934e7a90803ca25380884b229bf38699f21ec9c1f271b8881447d1
159.17 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/13/2026, 2:38:24 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x005e49BFD47F3A2c10dce34bC0d8C88EE382D489
Tx: 0x0030004623498071e552f1d5e3164526a665ea6bbd7668842fd2ff6cd9fbc115
45.24 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/13/2026, 2:38:24 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x003daff93096B3Da37414B466BA2a65a3a65ED06
Tx: 0x007a004a73bd2eafce370bae24422a13dc66ddd9a035f3d86f289453d9c95285
78.1 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/13/2026, 2:38:21 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x005bf49274F6F03D3050eF26A1fe0508a2b88CE0
Tx: 0x007d001283a87c8ef4f4cbd2f7a380dc4c707f0b9878a4fd53e399959100ff0e
389.27 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/13/2026, 2:38:21 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x003cEe495B0e567616aF202314b78c9596453303
Tx: 0x0033002822591268d4a54409e64343032f59fc0fdb06610eb2662f72ba435bd9
226.84 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/13/2026, 2:38:21 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x003F8005224A4337d1b0B90898792343862cc0Fd
Tx: 0x0058000a37fe7c6fa58e526f1379b9a635addc85008fbc02e484264866c3e143
318.68 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/13/2026, 2:38:08 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x003C4b509ce7beBB39a2A6Dd588902528956d087
Tx: 0x0019002034ca9a112e5771230fbe1557f37aecc3379cd5a7feda0da9907ccd09
67.41 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/13/2026, 2:38:08 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x003F08D446081727C9324D3A618109CF05AaC075
Tx: 0x007a000b4ac35b4b2b4883465007dcae135fe52ba4f5eaec825556baa3e72cb1
427.75 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/13/2026, 2:38:08 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x005b603C8D33511c6DF524BE933365e1AF0Df9Cc
Tx: 0x004f004f928921117d6a4ff86e856a33c047d4ca8a31ca96ae5984be8b318602