Spike bucket
08/13/2026, 2:25:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/13/2026, 2:25:00 A.M. to 08/13/2026, 2:26:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 1,408.52
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 27% of explained volume
Relative context
0.1x above local average
0.1x previous minute
0.1x next minute
Interpretation
Visible rows explain most of the spike, with no single transfer dominating.
The visible flow is broad and internally consistent.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
7
Observable rows
7
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
11
Asset volume
1,408.52 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F • 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + high confidence + 1409 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F • 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 7 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 08/13/2026, 2:25:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 7 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
Net sender
Unknown type
579.73 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
Net sender
Unknown type
455.34 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x0028379b254697F901EDeFc2E5f4bE459a47Bdcb
Net receiver
Unknown type
380.04 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002817Ec732850FD13f9F84698E97402CBe55cAc
Net receiver
Unknown type
275.73 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
Net sender
Unknown type
273.12 QUAI across 2 visible rows
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
15 tx
13,395.71 QUAI • 25 addresses
08/13/2026, 2:24:47 A.M.
+1 min
11 tx
24,229.79 QUAI • 24 addresses
08/13/2026, 2:26:06 A.M.
-2 min
27 tx
12,611.19 QUAI • 38 addresses
08/13/2026, 2:23:27 A.M.
+2 min
Best candidate42 tx
45,833.49 QUAI • 53 addresses
08/13/2026, 2:27:17 A.M.
-3 min
26 tx
9,040.64 QUAI • 36 addresses
08/13/2026, 2:22:07 A.M.
-4 min
15 tx
6,906.32 QUAI • 30 addresses
08/13/2026, 2:20:47 A.M.
+4 min
6 tx
2,497.03 QUAI • 17 addresses
08/13/2026, 2:28:40 A.M.
+5 min
15 tx
10,418.67 QUAI • 24 addresses
08/13/2026, 2:29:59 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
380.04 QUAI
Derived whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/13/2026, 2:25:00 A.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x0028379b254697F901EDeFc2E5f4bE459a47Bdcb
All transfers in this selected minute
7 transactions
275.73 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/13/2026, 2:25:25 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x002817Ec732850FD13f9F84698E97402CBe55cAc
Tx: 0x002e0053212bdd29d9804bdc9c136d1b9a2fea7488804fbea5e5340f806cbe57
199.69 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/13/2026, 2:25:25 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x002b2f4865ba5017404F9Ea0FBe35D1f9f8eb515
Tx: 0x005f006dfc8f4c053d071873c07123eac904acbd44f69c594f432997e0779bc2
151.75 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/13/2026, 2:25:25 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x003835340Da62C918332E647508144EFb394e4c1
Tx: 0x007c00329d50030833f4cadddaa7853a0a6aa0e710b20e7fee9811b6e09f0638
380.04 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/13/2026, 2:25:00 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x0028379b254697F901EDeFc2E5f4bE459a47Bdcb
Tx: 0x0045002ee7f6f858b1bd3cfaa7670f072ea0eac452925beabc477cdd7c3477f1
121.37 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/13/2026, 2:25:00 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x0037287D2c1251a5528BAE4dB8Bbc9DDEdAC4bA5
Tx: 0x004e004a03bd2216e088450a8a0b094d2813a558051b0c95f57f725548da6bed
179.61 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/13/2026, 2:25:00 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x00279149c2f7c3783737B79597A7Ceb558D12241
Tx: 0x00420053520b4d6d4e5abaff013037355a38e60b6792e3415934ab68f5b1fb26
100.33 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/13/2026, 2:25:00 A.M.
From: 0x004b0015A5a719765d2CeBF08dE8cfb965593F17
To: 0x00226A5B71f2d6bCE1A9F962dB05107A8C1860d5
Tx: 0x0015005b5a19f2d7fd178393ab52d46cc84ce3f4d3dec29c72ca1ee54bd542f1