Spike bucket
08/13/2026, 2:07:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/13/2026, 2:07:00 A.M. to 08/13/2026, 2:08:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
medium confidence
96% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 676.21
Unexplained QUAI: 30.72
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 36% of explained volume
Relative context
0.0x above local average
0.5x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by multiple visible transfers.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
18
Observable rows
17
94.4% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
27
Asset volume
706.93 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da • 0x001F0af9403592c11b9e07659dc2F740e3075C39.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + medium confidence + 707 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da • 0x001F0af9403592c11b9e07659dc2F740e3075C39.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: medium • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 17 visible transfer rows
Confidence medium • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 08/13/2026, 2:07:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 17 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
Net sender
Unknown type
676.21 QUAI across 17 visible rows
0x001F0af9403592c11b9e07659dc2F740e3075C39
Net receiver
Unknown type
241.14 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0052d26C6706DA740b7F09DB43479142513a4B37
Net receiver
Unknown type
128.78 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0059521422C0F8fC0967393b225188483C655e15
Net receiver
Unknown type
120.31 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0046067EF3e4377fAF7b876111445563e1C222e9
Net receiver
Unknown type
46.49 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
-1 min
52 tx
1,506.28 QUAI • 67 addresses
08/13/2026, 2:06:16 A.M.
+1 min
18 tx
706.93 QUAI • 27 addresses
08/13/2026, 2:07:37 A.M.
-2 min
50 tx
2,104.46 QUAI • 58 addresses
08/13/2026, 2:04:57 A.M.
+2 min
Best candidate6 tx
126,829.97 QUAI • 15 addresses
08/13/2026, 2:08:55 A.M.
-3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
08/13/2026, 2:03:39 A.M.
+3 min
1 tx
8.42 QUAI • 10 addresses
08/13/2026, 2:10:14 A.M.
-5 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
08/13/2026, 2:02:20 A.M.
+5 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 7 addresses
08/13/2026, 2:11:33 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
241.14 QUAI
Derived whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/13/2026, 2:07:00 A.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x001F0af9403592c11b9e07659dc2F740e3075C39
All transfers in this selected minute
17 transactions
8.71 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/13/2026, 2:07:00 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x005BcE3cc1ceCD870bE5a2fcB6dEc9674FD95c79
Tx: 0x001b0001db24a149f8e85b58cafaffce8b888e3ee4e71b7a847bcf1d668e9dac
4.86 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/13/2026, 2:07:00 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0041047fb41Fbb3952b197F81aaCF0661BEAab75
Tx: 0x007f0015786b2280f9aca7cfa651cf96c24353ef095f8ec41c4d6fc13c9b99de
26.72 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/13/2026, 2:07:00 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x005325141fA6436671A1562F1bf0EDa748E498DF
Tx: 0x00600059714d705513e7be6df9ae306bbebf70926beac2183d0bda2a7e5b0afc
14.98 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/13/2026, 2:07:00 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x00220BD68A83351cd0993b92903556327dAfCF08
Tx: 0x0034002a74b65284912bf05c165cbccaa43c8331a2ba81f9e3fd8e8c0024ca47
5.41 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/13/2026, 2:07:00 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x006745Db42371c7dBCab3dEAf37839b33dFf3FE7
Tx: 0x0043000588b981f3fb8c615ea266cb6e7cad68bfce31f9f7959e9f6a49f99a69
241.14 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/13/2026, 2:07:00 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x001F0af9403592c11b9e07659dc2F740e3075C39
Tx: 0x00770057c843560f0570de41664fcb95680a7e45c7e087e53302cb7e6142e519
5.21 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/13/2026, 2:07:00 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x00189e3467216c936DdE87AC1e18d2eD62794322
Tx: 0x00530033f945c486b763665ac40f295fab9f8ebf1d6af75142f52947327fc2b7
19.82 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/13/2026, 2:07:00 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x004d27296eA9C630Ae2ebb84071575Bf1fF919d6
Tx: 0x007a00041fb90f01390c39d7816c345a3133049f179fc6046024db62fe3d8629
128.78 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/13/2026, 2:07:00 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0052d26C6706DA740b7F09DB43479142513a4B37
Tx: 0x001a001bc6646aeaa74ee4210c5e74a422dbed94b255bff221e46f19cd3117af
4.87 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/13/2026, 2:07:00 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x006b2C5697124FFFd4F47c4C48c51e21B593cF1D
Tx: 0x0020000d7718597b4ee2221b7bd2fbd525944a3926f24c18f169e604069e10d0
46.49 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/13/2026, 2:07:00 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0046067EF3e4377fAF7b876111445563e1C222e9
Tx: 0x0015002c5f133349d37ca01d78e035414a9a18194e256dd3d0418e8dab5da175
6.07 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/13/2026, 2:07:00 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x00585160E8466d30d02Bb3b2fBE7d929ac62D556
Tx: 0x00160001f69c1f9a0e3776122aa4e6983b01aaf54e33106d784a4440374e1265
120.31 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/13/2026, 2:07:00 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0059521422C0F8fC0967393b225188483C655e15
Tx: 0x00250078c17e7a6be314c72b6a4970bfa73dc47a7f3d9adcaf4d477009c13763
19.71 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/13/2026, 2:07:00 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x00293B52b3891afa998163221A3D610Be0D5d99F
Tx: 0x006b007c3655e8a1efbea3d8e951a2fa8fd3da2df0ab9bfa75f964971840808e
6.17 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/13/2026, 2:07:00 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x00536c5c3BF90B1E899871208eC62D33250A841e
Tx: 0x0070003206ca5fd5afaff71d5df878849b65bd7c98b518d2113684e82be30a42
7.37 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/13/2026, 2:07:00 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0063C504CD47Cc115338f4130026576471a3F4B3
Tx: 0x007b00287c2508686a5936fc39ca98c3c5c865863abda6dae7c07810ffecf549
9.59 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/13/2026, 2:07:00 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x003c82ECb4b9D3756F2cd7484713a5F4B0CA16bC
Tx: 0x005f006f38f9951db7ab34291684aaf8e10dbf30784e73a3c494db07d57b77d1
