Spike bucket
08/13/2026, 1:18:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/13/2026, 1:18:00 A.M. to 08/13/2026, 1:19:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 81,519.44
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 50% of explained volume
Relative context
4.8x above local average
1.5x next minute
Largest nearby bucket
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
2
Observable rows
2
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
18
Asset volume
60,756.43 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9 • 0x0001bfaDc5f313E722c8f0dc45Df0D9D4D192700.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 60756 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 60
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9 • 0x0001bfaDc5f313E722c8f0dc45Df0D9D4D192700.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 08/13/2026, 1:18:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9
Balanced
Unknown type
81,519.44 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x0001bfaDc5f313E722c8f0dc45Df0D9D4D192700
Net receiver
Unknown type
40,762.06 QUAI across 1 visible row
Gate.io hot wallet
Net sender
Exchange
40,757.38 QUAI across 1 visible row
Known watch context
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 40,757.38 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
Best candidate2 tx
60,756.43 QUAI • 18 addresses
08/13/2026, 1:18:18 A.M.
-1 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 6 addresses
08/13/2026, 1:16:59 A.M.
-2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 9 addresses
08/13/2026, 1:15:41 A.M.
+2 min
1 tx
40,762.06 QUAI • 16 addresses
08/13/2026, 1:19:37 A.M.
+3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
08/13/2026, 1:20:56 A.M.
-4 min
3 tx
463.37 QUAI • 16 addresses
08/13/2026, 1:14:21 A.M.
+4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 15 addresses
08/13/2026, 1:22:15 A.M.
-5 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
08/13/2026, 1:13:02 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
40,762.06 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/13/2026, 1:18:33 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9
To: 0x0001bfaDc5f313E722c8f0dc45Df0D9D4D192700
All transfers in this selected minute
2 transactions
40,762.06 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/13/2026, 1:18:33 A.M.
From: 0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9
To: 0x0001bfaDc5f313E722c8f0dc45Df0D9D4D192700
Tx: 0x0064001a80bca633d8f423d473d85d557d9eb07a01090f4b6c05bb328067f74c
40,757.38 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/13/2026, 1:18:05 A.M.
From: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
To: 0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9
Tx: 0x0062004e32118a039fd80b84b49fe402820270a1817bafc63f65f8989da60446