Spike bucket
08/13/2026, 12:16:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/13/2026, 12:16:00 A.M. to 08/13/2026, 12:17:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 72,606.86
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 30% of explained volume
Relative context
1.5x above local average
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
Visible rows explain most of the spike, with no single transfer dominating.
The visible flow is broad and internally consistent.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
4
Observable rows
4
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
7
Asset volume
72,606.86 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987 • 0x001BBc094C7777Cb590641ff08BfF8f4849E565c.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + high confidence + 72607 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 50
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987 • 0x001BBc094C7777Cb590641ff08BfF8f4849E565c.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 08/13/2026, 12:16:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
Gate.io hot wallet
Net sender
Exchange
35,086.51 QUAI across 2 visible rows
Known watch context
0x001BBc094C7777Cb590641ff08BfF8f4849E565c
Net sender
Unknown type
21,772.2 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0071faB7b21D1cdCa8516f179a6e9a2297144b6A
Net receiver
Unknown type
21,772.2 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x003b9aDC47853F64Dee2174861DE67c57bB872DB
Net receiver
Unknown type
21,413.88 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x003CDefA877916A431b8bf08d8DA61131Cc26622
Net sender
Unknown type
15,748.15 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 35,086.51 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
Best candidate3 tx
100,493.01 QUAI • 16 addresses
08/13/2026, 12:15:57 A.M.
-1 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
08/13/2026, 12:14:47 A.M.
+1 min
4 tx
72,606.86 QUAI • 19 addresses
08/13/2026, 12:17:08 A.M.
-2 min
1 tx
19,999.04 QUAI • 10 addresses
08/13/2026, 12:13:35 A.M.
+2 min
1 tx
100,000 QUAI • 10 addresses
08/13/2026, 12:18:19 A.M.
+3 min
1 tx
11,528.46 QUAI • 16 addresses
08/13/2026, 12:19:29 A.M.
-4 min
3 tx
36,178.88 QUAI • 13 addresses
08/13/2026, 12:12:25 A.M.
-5 min
9 tx
44,187.14 QUAI • 24 addresses
08/13/2026, 12:11:12 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
21,772.2 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/13/2026, 12:16:36 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x001BBc094C7777Cb590641ff08BfF8f4849E565c
To: 0x0071faB7b21D1cdCa8516f179a6e9a2297144b6A
All transfers in this selected minute
4 transactions
13,672.63 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/13/2026, 12:16:43 A.M.
From: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
To: 0x00584159F391D25aC5E748Da398374efb339B916
Tx: 0x002c005a6468936971092891e1ea72dfd6450781471a8e3e11b18a947aed1128
21,413.88 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/13/2026, 12:16:36 A.M.
From: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
To: 0x003b9aDC47853F64Dee2174861DE67c57bB872DB
Tx: 0x001e004c11240599dc93f98fd2ac3b6c2e7aca4089900affb319626cd4c41690
15,748.15 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/13/2026, 12:16:36 A.M.
From: 0x003CDefA877916A431b8bf08d8DA61131Cc26622
To: 0x0075B7f9F9B07c9cB9797926399F7298Edf5E182
Tx: 0x000e007f07f447dfcf72cf13e9547e3f6346d2eb967172b6a4219ac5ab6263b6
21,772.2 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/13/2026, 12:16:36 A.M.
From: 0x001BBc094C7777Cb590641ff08BfF8f4849E565c
To: 0x0071faB7b21D1cdCa8516f179a6e9a2297144b6A
Tx: 0x00650064455eb89a863909d8768ddf9a54fee71352abb5dad2455ec029605fd9