Spike bucket
08/13/2026, 12:10:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/13/2026, 12:10:00 A.M. to 08/13/2026, 12:11:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
44% coverage
Large spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 44,187.14
Unexplained QUAI: 56,721.66
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 50% of explained volume
Relative context
1.5x above local average
1.7x previous minute
2.3x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
6
Observable rows
9
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
19
Asset volume
100,908.8 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x003CDefA877916A431b8bf08d8DA61131Cc26622.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 100909 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 66
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x003CDefA877916A431b8bf08d8DA61131Cc26622.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 9 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 08/13/2026, 12:10:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (56% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 9 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • observable coverage remains partial (44%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
22,118.19 QUAI across 8 visible rows
Known watch context
0x003CDefA877916A431b8bf08d8DA61131Cc26622
Net sender
Unknown type
22,068.95 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0075B7f9F9B07c9cB9797926399F7298Edf5E182
Net receiver
Unknown type
22,068.95 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
Net sender
Unknown type
19,998.68 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00169E165598836157b4Bd9E67437EC05A2735Ca
Net sender
Unknown type
1,436.64 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 22,118.19 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
6 tx
100,908.8 QUAI • 19 addresses
08/13/2026, 12:10:00 A.M.
-1 min
2 tx
61,020.55 QUAI • 16 addresses
08/13/2026, 12:08:49 A.M.
+1 min
9 tx
44,187.14 QUAI • 24 addresses
08/13/2026, 12:11:12 A.M.
-2 min
18 tx
47,944.86 QUAI • 30 addresses
08/13/2026, 12:07:38 A.M.
+2 min
3 tx
36,178.88 QUAI • 13 addresses
08/13/2026, 12:12:25 A.M.
-4 min
Best candidate56 tx
183,581.39 QUAI • 71 addresses
08/13/2026, 12:06:26 A.M.
+4 min
1 tx
19,999.04 QUAI • 10 addresses
08/13/2026, 12:13:35 A.M.
-5 min
4 tx
52,041.41 QUAI • 6 addresses
08/13/2026, 12:05:15 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
22,068.95 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/13/2026, 12:10:42 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x003CDefA877916A431b8bf08d8DA61131Cc26622
To: 0x0075B7f9F9B07c9cB9797926399F7298Edf5E182
All transfers in this selected minute
9 transactions
110.41 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/13/2026, 12:10:42 A.M.
From: 0x006F01531266035955B36D375360aA15F10ED0cf
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00360010903d3fa0adebd29b21e452da5362798e7163c6b401527526a6727aed
105.84 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/13/2026, 12:10:42 A.M.
From: 0x00188168641db65f12Ba22b111338BdF26d09b9c
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0079004fd68926ec2f86e8592a3ddfcf46aff7bba4a42576e12e846ba5439d61
1,436.64 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/13/2026, 12:10:42 A.M.
From: 0x00169E165598836157b4Bd9E67437EC05A2735Ca
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x000e003644382d425798d13b51b2d8fdb8c4c9f0938852723ca013bd20b89ad5
112.15 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/13/2026, 12:10:42 A.M.
From: 0x000027730178c2C1bDfa5FE22ecb72Fe3cE765c2
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0051004047cc402a98d5fc5076a9f3ecc961bb7aaff24af15740c8e0d88f85de
19,998.68 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/13/2026, 12:10:42 A.M.
From: 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x006a002ffc0c90a1b293ab3319b9ac23e6e20c3394598844cf3f7bdd76125dcc
104.68 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/13/2026, 12:10:42 A.M.
From: 0x005A4558d4c604f93DB7AC864b7FDeADd75208E2
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x007b002ebd2be797acdb721723cfecd629da3a6127f5925c7eb2e2c65320fbf5
132.29 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/13/2026, 12:10:42 A.M.
From: 0x001D34B2650bb2D1716dd1eE877115375C540EbB
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x001e0033b60021c946748f86117a37d228ade585e6dd63f935c6b175f35bbb8a
117.5 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/13/2026, 12:10:42 A.M.
From: 0x005E8fC2D987eab31887d75650ccbD041A88Dc7b
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00560068d3e96a30d47bb77ed38b2260ec2686a30cca07a1b83a7cbcfa0da9b6
22,068.95 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/13/2026, 12:10:42 A.M.
From: 0x003CDefA877916A431b8bf08d8DA61131Cc26622
To: 0x0075B7f9F9B07c9cB9797926399F7298Edf5E182
Tx: 0x003700648cd2aba364c193fb2252686325a6d16662e4dbeaa976f8e91c12112f