Spike bucket
08/13/2026, 12:06:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/13/2026, 12:06:00 A.M. to 08/13/2026, 12:07:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
40% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Large spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 72,786.63
Unexplained QUAI: 110,794.76
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 99% of explained volume
Relative context
2.5x above local average
3.5x previous minute
3.8x next minute
Largest nearby bucket
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
56
Observable rows
8
14.3% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
71
Asset volume
183,581.39 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x001c2f703091d45dC6b870a56B4cD32fA7E443dB.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + low confidence + 183581 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 56
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x001c2f703091d45dC6b870a56B4cD32fA7E443dB.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 8 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 08/13/2026, 12:06:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (60% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 8 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • observable coverage remains partial (40%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net sender
Exchange
72,232.95 QUAI across 1 visible row
Known watch context
0x001c2f703091d45dC6b870a56B4cD32fA7E443dB
Net receiver
Unknown type
72,232.95 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x001Ef88d9BD1f67c160C9e5e26793036322247c6
Net sender
Unknown type
431.69 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x005E31fC3d41eEACDe8567Af8AD6a705d9144989
Net receiver
Unknown type
431.69 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
Net sender
Unknown type
113.81 QUAI across 5 visible rows
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 72,232.95 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
Best candidate56 tx
183,581.39 QUAI • 71 addresses
08/13/2026, 12:06:26 A.M.
-1 min
4 tx
52,041.41 QUAI • 6 addresses
08/13/2026, 12:05:15 A.M.
-2 min
51 tx
40,741.47 QUAI • 66 addresses
08/13/2026, 12:04:04 A.M.
+2 min
18 tx
47,944.86 QUAI • 30 addresses
08/13/2026, 12:07:38 A.M.
-3 min
2 tx
29,583.01 QUAI • 14 addresses
08/13/2026, 12:02:53 A.M.
+3 min
2 tx
61,020.55 QUAI • 16 addresses
08/13/2026, 12:08:49 A.M.
-4 min
2 tx
64,920.59 QUAI • 16 addresses
08/13/2026, 12:01:42 A.M.
+4 min
6 tx
100,908.8 QUAI • 19 addresses
08/13/2026, 12:10:00 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
72,232.95 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/13/2026, 12:06:14 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
To: 0x001c2f703091d45dC6b870a56B4cD32fA7E443dB
All transfers in this selected minute
8 transactions
431.69 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/13/2026, 12:06:14 A.M.
From: 0x001Ef88d9BD1f67c160C9e5e26793036322247c6
To: 0x005E31fC3d41eEACDe8567Af8AD6a705d9144989
Tx: 0x00710046a0f577cb4bee51fa28695deeb948572fe53d5e91480c64e1e3f06381
72,232.95 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/13/2026, 12:06:14 A.M.
From: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
To: 0x001c2f703091d45dC6b870a56B4cD32fA7E443dB
Tx: 0x007e0043f1703a44419026da7a000f55531512c64b4021aa6b9083b79f095027
8.18 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/13/2026, 12:06:14 A.M.
From: 0x005BcE3cc1ceCD870bE5a2fcB6dEc9674FD95c79
To: 0x0012fE99c6dE55353F373e1276b27a19d8A0b907
Tx: 0x005a00623df00fe8a23483c805c3d163dbddae6899fe9183963aadb65393f627
64.48 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/13/2026, 12:06:14 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x007a33010eB916D46737585E11598EABF8fDF188
Tx: 0x000700232c4468450cd6ecdfbf31b55184a9425ae2cb73a0603341ea258a822f
8.71 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/13/2026, 12:06:14 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0076b2AC490BcdD5a99aC0450ebc8712C966b6a9
Tx: 0x007a00075e4b497eb699cf685c6d83a824780b5a92c8ef021e2c6225701d9168
6.29 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/13/2026, 12:06:14 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0052Ec5b0c17f72a92c1B12F8276443D917D3900
Tx: 0x0073006edc43f35f6d77b72f1f1430bfc2ce03a7472334714da153d60aa506ef
29.59 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/13/2026, 12:06:14 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x007F95f6B1De175cf3ab31eDD47C98CC5dDB3cC4
Tx: 0x0070005536d505a25d1d37ba484fb6bfe1c830ee83f380e32e549e49bca48242
4.74 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/13/2026, 12:06:14 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x00614a3306AC8549E5431F3D5dF947E20751fcc6
Tx: 0x003b00462b9f2a3230250542021dbb2ec04a2033e77027493c24bb4dec826fab