Spike bucket
08/13/2026, 12:01:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/13/2026, 12:01:00 A.M. to 08/13/2026, 12:02:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 77,270.54
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 58% of explained volume
Relative context
1.4x above local average
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
2
Observable rows
3
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
16
Asset volume
64,920.59 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x001c2f703091d45dC6b870a56B4cD32fA7E443dB.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 64921 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 60
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x001c2f703091d45dC6b870a56B4cD32fA7E443dB.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 08/13/2026, 12:01:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net sender
Exchange
44,921.55 QUAI across 1 visible row
Known watch context
0x001c2f703091d45dC6b870a56B4cD32fA7E443dB
Net receiver
Unknown type
44,921.55 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004e7A848a2F6A878da5F2985D64f1F61198bD0b
Net sender
Unknown type
19,999.04 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
Net receiver
Unknown type
19,999.04 QUAI across 1 visible row
Gate.io hot wallet
Net sender
Exchange
12,349.95 QUAI across 1 visible row
Known watch context
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 57,271.5 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
-1 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
08/13/2026, 12:00:29 A.M.
+1 min
2 tx
64,920.59 QUAI • 16 addresses
08/13/2026, 12:01:42 A.M.
-2 min
Best candidate2 tx
120,867.44 QUAI • 14 addresses
08/12/2026, 11:59:19 P.M.
+2 min
2 tx
29,583.01 QUAI • 14 addresses
08/13/2026, 12:02:53 A.M.
-3 min
1 tx
2,671.92 QUAI • 18 addresses
08/12/2026, 11:58:08 P.M.
+3 min
51 tx
40,741.47 QUAI • 66 addresses
08/13/2026, 12:04:04 A.M.
-4 min
2 tx
70,219.54 QUAI • 12 addresses
08/12/2026, 11:56:58 P.M.
+4 min
4 tx
52,041.41 QUAI • 6 addresses
08/13/2026, 12:05:15 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
44,921.55 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/13/2026, 12:01:10 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
To: 0x001c2f703091d45dC6b870a56B4cD32fA7E443dB
All transfers in this selected minute
3 transactions
12,349.95 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/13/2026, 12:01:46 A.M.
From: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
To: 0x00584159F391D25aC5E748Da398374efb339B916
Tx: 0x00530031021610e1f825234ea19482ad406982dc05197e8cfd3e650c36c4e1b9
44,921.55 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/13/2026, 12:01:10 A.M.
From: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
To: 0x001c2f703091d45dC6b870a56B4cD32fA7E443dB
Tx: 0x004800303ad4aef33eaa350092b47967b1896e9e15b9e35bb9c46da351529603
19,999.04 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/13/2026, 12:01:10 A.M.
From: 0x004e7A848a2F6A878da5F2985D64f1F61198bD0b
To: 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
Tx: 0x00780067525d08a6673cfa97b05722e2ba2496de5dbfa15f40f546926f8a8f39