Spike bucket
08/12/2026, 10:24:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/12/2026, 10:24:00 P.M. to 08/12/2026, 10:25:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 105.41
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 51% of explained volume
Relative context
2.3x above local average
1.0x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
2
Observable rows
2
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
3
Asset volume
105.41 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x004b0015A5a719765d2CeBF08dE8cfb965593F17 • 0x0037F72D85cDF7527e64d9C19609976003540B90.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 105 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x004b0015A5a719765d2CeBF08dE8cfb965593F17 • 0x0037F72D85cDF7527e64d9C19609976003540B90.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 08/12/2026, 10:24:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x004b0015A5a719765d2CeBF08dE8cfb965593F17
Net sender
Unknown type
105.41 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x0037F72D85cDF7527e64d9C19609976003540B90
Net receiver
Unknown type
54.09 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x003cC4c63a4bCB119AD611c5e7Feb1b8064b9034
Net receiver
Unknown type
51.32 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
1 tx
60.05 QUAI • 13 addresses
08/12/2026, 10:23:53 P.M.
-1 min
1 tx
103.99 QUAI • 13 addresses
08/12/2026, 10:22:42 P.M.
+1 min
Best candidate2 tx
105.41 QUAI • 16 addresses
08/12/2026, 10:25:04 P.M.
-2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
08/12/2026, 10:21:32 P.M.
+2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
08/12/2026, 10:26:16 P.M.
+3 min
1 tx
103.27 QUAI • 12 addresses
08/12/2026, 10:27:27 P.M.
-4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 8 addresses
08/12/2026, 10:20:22 P.M.
-5 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 9 addresses
08/12/2026, 10:19:12 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
54.09 QUAI
Derived whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/12/2026, 10:24:15 P.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x004b0015A5a719765d2CeBF08dE8cfb965593F17
To: 0x0037F72D85cDF7527e64d9C19609976003540B90
All transfers in this selected minute
2 transactions
51.32 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/12/2026, 10:24:44 P.M.
From: 0x004b0015A5a719765d2CeBF08dE8cfb965593F17
To: 0x003cC4c63a4bCB119AD611c5e7Feb1b8064b9034
Tx: 0x0027006cf1ca04b1a3f7cfc178dad95562787f9d5985384a5c36eee2ed5bc868
54.09 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/12/2026, 10:24:15 P.M.
From: 0x004b0015A5a719765d2CeBF08dE8cfb965593F17
To: 0x0037F72D85cDF7527e64d9C19609976003540B90
Tx: 0x0057000a60db108ce0cb8b13b2de3b37cdbac3ec4054e17ee2d405a1e5609adc