Spike bucket
08/12/2026, 10:06:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/12/2026, 10:06:00 P.M. to 08/12/2026, 10:07:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 21,438.21
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 93% of explained volume
Relative context
1.7x above local average
27x previous minute
396x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
Visible rows account for most of the bucket with a clear leading transfer.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
6
Observable rows
8
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
19
Asset volume
21,384.24 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + high confidence + 21384 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 63
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 8 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 08/12/2026, 10:06:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 8 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
21,315.22 QUAI across 5 visible rows
Known watch context
0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
Net sender
Unknown type
19,998.66 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00756308fe8d8C1B7BE091556C4CD7083332CD6B
Net sender
Unknown type
1,000.71 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x007f71E05a9e44077ED40d00F1f8AFF9C9013B05
Net sender
Unknown type
109.6 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00008f15F47FCF49ceb0c5e61d9389B4DC549bee
Net sender
Unknown type
106.51 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 21,315.22 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
6 tx
21,384.24 QUAI • 19 addresses
08/12/2026, 10:06:13 P.M.
-1 min
12 tx
793.76 QUAI • 21 addresses
08/12/2026, 10:05:02 P.M.
+1 min
2 tx
53.97 QUAI • 17 addresses
08/12/2026, 10:07:24 P.M.
-2 min
1 tx
7.28 QUAI • 16 addresses
08/12/2026, 10:03:49 P.M.
-3 min
51 tx
22,152.32 QUAI • 62 addresses
08/12/2026, 10:02:38 P.M.
+3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
08/12/2026, 10:08:35 P.M.
+4 min
Best candidate1 tx
51,614.7 QUAI • 15 addresses
08/12/2026, 10:09:46 P.M.
-5 min
50 tx
2,113.61 QUAI • 61 addresses
08/12/2026, 10:01:27 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
19,998.66 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/12/2026, 10:06:10 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
8 transactions
23.84 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/12/2026, 10:06:49 P.M.
From: 0x0001BA1d467bFA8B5c09C7EAc2E8f8E283667E4B
To: 0x0072CC14Cf0F186e4D39bdcEc0056b736Da79B23
Tx: 0x00070011d81642a57553a25f6efb56a0b7f765d82c624f2fe734c19f8652154b
30.13 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/12/2026, 10:06:49 P.M.
From: 0x0059b03F6a79b75a91F994e00227265751dAE71C
To: 0x002a3e5E8fAD443A92BCC5171C5c5699147C4528
Tx: 0x00390002a9bb8c79c9a198d32cd0673649bb9aee682876528863e152b0ceae5f
69.02 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/12/2026, 10:06:10 P.M.
From: 0x0001BA1d467bFA8B5c09C7EAc2E8f8E283667E4B
To: 0x000Bd4a1F1184E4ad0e656f6db0Fc37916780491
Tx: 0x00220062d9a8c87e50ce7ca97d7f27a22a49ffa08876661fde58d366ebdb21c0
109.6 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/12/2026, 10:06:10 P.M.
From: 0x007f71E05a9e44077ED40d00F1f8AFF9C9013B05
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00060074b686638bc29f8fff5f983451592a8452295fb53ae86ba7123ff1edc0
106.51 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/12/2026, 10:06:10 P.M.
From: 0x00008f15F47FCF49ceb0c5e61d9389B4DC549bee
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x001d0009938ce1f24aa131b29bd27b8a9b186c6a96ca6de06103cbce8fc3ad86
1,000.71 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/12/2026, 10:06:10 P.M.
From: 0x00756308fe8d8C1B7BE091556C4CD7083332CD6B
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0067005c6156126043bbab7ac8c1c5fdd88cd659b23d5fb53c2ef0c8d9f2e88d
99.74 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/12/2026, 10:06:10 P.M.
From: 0x00168639eAfC0f3BFA527e17917D8FCcaFfDb616
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00380060e7ba94043e48aea9098bc39f875487b0f167aab802972f1088ec65fa
19,998.66 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/12/2026, 10:06:10 P.M.
From: 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00690052170196041ba2b08d1808098cd9d8b0ee9f3b55c0144d174fa3cf1454