Spike bucket
08/12/2026, 8:06:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/12/2026, 8:06:00 P.M. to 08/12/2026, 8:07:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 55.95
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 55% of explained volume
Relative context
0.0x above local average
0.0x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
3
Observable rows
3
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
5
Asset volume
55.95 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0014E7B8b1954e8988DA0b91850A215B87aD4564 • 0x0030f10764642fF1f31De19f159416e713233091.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 56 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0014E7B8b1954e8988DA0b91850A215B87aD4564 • 0x0030f10764642fF1f31De19f159416e713233091.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 08/12/2026, 8:06:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0014E7B8b1954e8988DA0b91850A215B87aD4564
Net sender
Unknown type
30.98 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0030f10764642fF1f31De19f159416e713233091
Net receiver
Unknown type
30.98 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0012fE99c6dE55353F373e1276b27a19d8A0b907
Net receiver
Unknown type
24.97 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x0061e8518Bbd996F3930504F99d3F8af28B19de9
Net sender
Unknown type
13.81 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x005BcE3cc1ceCD870bE5a2fcB6dEc9674FD95c79
Net sender
Unknown type
11.16 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
0 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
08/12/2026, 8:05:57 P.M.
-1 min
20 tx
1,231.12 QUAI • 29 addresses
08/12/2026, 8:04:46 P.M.
+1 min
3 tx
55.95 QUAI • 16 addresses
08/12/2026, 8:07:08 P.M.
-2 min
50 tx
989.08 QUAI • 64 addresses
08/12/2026, 8:03:35 P.M.
+2 min
1 tx
28.41 QUAI • 15 addresses
08/12/2026, 8:08:20 P.M.
+4 min
4 tx
20,470.17 QUAI • 15 addresses
08/12/2026, 8:09:31 P.M.
-5 min
Best candidate51 tx
22,381.94 QUAI • 61 addresses
08/12/2026, 8:01:14 P.M.
-6 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
08/12/2026, 8:00:03 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
30.98 QUAI
Derived whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/12/2026, 8:06:43 P.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x0014E7B8b1954e8988DA0b91850A215B87aD4564
To: 0x0030f10764642fF1f31De19f159416e713233091
All transfers in this selected minute
3 transactions
30.98 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/12/2026, 8:06:43 P.M.
From: 0x0014E7B8b1954e8988DA0b91850A215B87aD4564
To: 0x0030f10764642fF1f31De19f159416e713233091
Tx: 0x002800715c3a829b4dbb9ab516443006d63b3a48d578e7108a92aa812317febf
11.16 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/12/2026, 8:06:15 P.M.
From: 0x005BcE3cc1ceCD870bE5a2fcB6dEc9674FD95c79
To: 0x0012fE99c6dE55353F373e1276b27a19d8A0b907
Tx: 0x000f004b8475883769484df1afd6d6320df8079682f21cf1fc0a29be63a0f565
13.81 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/12/2026, 8:06:15 P.M.
From: 0x0061e8518Bbd996F3930504F99d3F8af28B19de9
To: 0x0012fE99c6dE55353F373e1276b27a19d8A0b907
Tx: 0x001a007bcbca68846dbd98de256bf9b2129ed02d77a7dbb0717de43a358f3d09
