Spike bucket
08/12/2026, 7:03:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/12/2026, 7:03:00 P.M. to 08/12/2026, 7:04:00 P.M.
Partially observable spike
medium confidence
93% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 1,129.6
Unexplained QUAI: 82.28
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 24% of explained volume
Relative context
0.1x above local average
1.1x next minute
Interpretation
Visible rows explain most of the spike, with no single transfer dominating.
The spike appears distributed, but some of the bucket still remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
50
Observable rows
23
46.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
58
Asset volume
1,211.88 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
medium priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da • 0x0001ec798D9186b010De72732d4Cf04E594D9d52.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + medium confidence + 1212 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 35
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da • 0x0001ec798D9186b010De72732d4Cf04E594D9d52.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: medium • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 23 visible transfer rows
Confidence medium • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 08/12/2026, 7:03:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 23 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
Net sender
Unknown type
1,129.6 QUAI across 23 visible rows
0x0001ec798D9186b010De72732d4Cf04E594D9d52
Net receiver
Unknown type
268.94 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0037da737aAf5e405ECF40243874f9A6fEba3F20
Net receiver
Unknown type
243.74 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x001F0af9403592c11b9e07659dc2F740e3075C39
Net receiver
Unknown type
235.24 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0059521422C0F8fC0967393b225188483C655e15
Net receiver
Unknown type
137.64 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
50 tx
1,211.88 QUAI • 58 addresses
08/12/2026, 7:03:28 P.M.
-1 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
08/12/2026, 7:02:17 P.M.
-2 min
50 tx
2,120.65 QUAI • 63 addresses
08/12/2026, 7:01:06 P.M.
+2 min
23 tx
1,129.6 QUAI • 34 addresses
08/12/2026, 7:04:41 P.M.
-3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 9 addresses
08/12/2026, 6:59:55 P.M.
+3 min
4 tx
442.77 QUAI • 16 addresses
08/12/2026, 7:05:53 P.M.
-4 min
Best candidate4 tx
59,999.24 QUAI • 18 addresses
08/12/2026, 6:58:45 P.M.
+4 min
2 tx
85.79 QUAI • 14 addresses
08/12/2026, 7:07:03 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
268.94 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/12/2026, 7:03:57 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0001ec798D9186b010De72732d4Cf04E594D9d52
All transfers in this selected minute
23 transactions
6.23 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/12/2026, 7:03:57 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0052Ec5b0c17f72a92c1B12F8276443D917D3900
Tx: 0x00060020b0c31bf3223e55f203e4dde1730955ee3a1ed91834d3ba3b2f714e4d
4.87 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/12/2026, 7:03:57 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x00614a3306AC8549E5431F3D5dF947E20751fcc6
Tx: 0x004b006ff384e9916d0c658f835718b89f2c9770b55a3c5ee0c73f0dc0fd269c
5.84 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/12/2026, 7:03:57 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x000Ddec2aDbe15C20b25198596a3BfB0DD59f973
Tx: 0x0061004b47cf38472611d4d0b2f430557c367d3e8355d925396fce9e74b67589
5.04 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/12/2026, 7:03:57 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x001a69E5f757aa9584Fc72A14a14D77642c621A4
Tx: 0x0033004d589879b26dde21f8d6ef167bb7104ca26acb64849ed01da596b2b832
30.77 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/12/2026, 7:03:57 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x007f445007977f177663c0Dd44a1E6a812329d64
Tx: 0x001d001d1690365ac1ece6c7bc4d3541e381ee9daceb892971f2503fc43a9461
268.94 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/12/2026, 7:03:57 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0001ec798D9186b010De72732d4Cf04E594D9d52
Tx: 0x006e0003f2260a24aeb6746ebcd5d76a385af9c5e8e31caddc9641a446780509
14.82 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/12/2026, 7:03:57 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x000f5c2d2500087d3e26357402170042be0367f5
Tx: 0x007c000cb121455d0ffab7c815b52e39b401489917e3e62b65b4e284e4b60ae9
243.74 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/12/2026, 7:03:57 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0037da737aAf5e405ECF40243874f9A6fEba3F20
Tx: 0x005500632109dfd9450767a6d9928f24a6e330f91e6378145c253f869a7968f5
29.61 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/12/2026, 7:03:57 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x00110224C6e56a03E9ce4A8c82357fA31360B9cc
Tx: 0x0040007a05184dbe97a6de3fe03e6a6704309b1a7a7e98f04836b12037cb36e1
33.85 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/12/2026, 7:03:57 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x005325141fA6436671A1562F1bf0EDa748E498DF
Tx: 0x0039002a121bf27dd6b9917bb8ec15f29373cd317c82dd88fc3d2d097bc3ca8f
8.19 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/12/2026, 7:03:57 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0069422d4C3e3Ed00D3AFb2A0A8D6621DA951708
Tx: 0x002300443ca815186be2989f05a21a4032bec0151e451c8f8ed16022506db653
4.39 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/12/2026, 7:03:57 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0052F11c00efF8FadEC13860504a386E372a0897
Tx: 0x0015005817e91de0eb05739ced7690ad1f44e9b0a9cad1d0f22241c8fcebd23b
7.31 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/12/2026, 7:03:57 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x006cc975514614e26d6C80DA85b887b6e22f6130
Tx: 0x003a0011683dbc157ab33d71d756f815d9c8ea993a05aa50d4c205d208157c82
33.05 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/12/2026, 7:03:57 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0020945a60e57EfaB7593e966479c733eb793af7
Tx: 0x0045002f75b830c89382e8d1fb8850a6c2ec20b0c6fee14d4b16d54a16d6262c
5.11 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/12/2026, 7:03:57 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0008E77A0dD7DF694769928733B983D84426Ff02
Tx: 0x0028002620c969cb0d52cf3e4ce98811b9c6b31edf36c7948bf532000c7dfaf5
7.52 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/12/2026, 7:03:57 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0012BF2C8A60ac40572824fD2F575e7CAAE7af95
Tx: 0x001b006bc5017e7c2e43edd14ad7a0824ca8380165f61aaf1d2c4769c46a0261
20.21 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/12/2026, 7:03:57 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x00042ebf5e2dabBb79A67343711A89B76c7D1c49
Tx: 0x0019002db9007443cb74eda764c3a9ae1ec2bccda58120ce830fbc081c4168d8
7.12 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/12/2026, 7:03:57 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0026556e1Be909a07f299A03f8e78181a1f5C654
Tx: 0x0022002fd06449da3fb75b441afa3058f63a58dc1465aa2ff216050c712493eb
137.64 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/12/2026, 7:03:57 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0059521422C0F8fC0967393b225188483C655e15
Tx: 0x00170057d150c4c3e68efccd20131b5c02bae9e6a14cb7c446d2940c3791c299
7.97 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/12/2026, 7:03:57 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x006E6607A481d7409860D05cCC17Dad35332f462
Tx: 0x0067000ad9ff98d7408704c14f9890468fc67f96bd7fdf66ac90dc434d97653b
235.24 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/12/2026, 7:03:57 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x001F0af9403592c11b9e07659dc2F740e3075C39
Tx: 0x000e00306ecd690651fb868a0e33ca78b3a2eaaa039888309274a2910757a07a
6.96 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/12/2026, 7:03:57 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x00536c5c3BF90B1E899871208eC62D33250A841e
Tx: 0x0062005b74057bfb96c218bdd94419d28f35e93ad608da40806cee5fffb9cba9
5.18 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/12/2026, 7:03:57 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x003c82ECb4b9D3756F2cd7484713a5F4B0CA16bC
Tx: 0x000700344651bb6807150ab5df0c3744439a12f884205e727762e3b0316443dc
