Spike bucket
08/12/2026, 5:07:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/12/2026, 5:07:00 P.M. to 08/12/2026, 5:08:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
98% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 262.88
Unexplained QUAI: 6.04
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 58% of explained volume
Relative context
1.0x above local average
8.5x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
7
Observable rows
8
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
15
Asset volume
268.92 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x007ab0833c16867dBF36f29E51DE8C96C1f9CcCe.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 269 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x007ab0833c16867dBF36f29E51DE8C96C1f9CcCe.
0x000eF1ed645F16Fb1388C764Ae4f05e35625B3A6 -> 0x007d27960335836b1aEA7312CCd8e48Db95227A0 (2 repeated flows).
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 8 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no major confidence limiter detected in current sample
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 08/12/2026, 5:07:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 8 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
254.86 QUAI across 2 visible rows
Known watch context
0x007ab0833c16867dBF36f29E51DE8C96C1f9CcCe
Net sender
Unknown type
152.15 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004D1D330eB95CFdec44062D314fb261C154C4A1
Net sender
Unknown type
102.71 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x000eF1ed645F16Fb1388C764Ae4f05e35625B3A6
Net sender
Unknown type
8.02 QUAI across 6 visible rows
0x007d27960335836b1aEA7312CCd8e48Db95227A0
Net receiver
Unknown type
2.67 QUAI across 2 visible rows
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x000eF1ed645F16Fb1388C764Ae4f05e35625B3A6 → 0x007d27960335836b1aEA7312CCd8e48Db95227A0
2 repeated flows • 2.67 QUAI
Type concentration
To exchange: 254.86 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
-1 min
2 tx
31.47 QUAI • 15 addresses
08/12/2026, 5:06:21 P.M.
+1 min
7 tx
268.92 QUAI • 15 addresses
08/12/2026, 5:07:34 P.M.
-2 min
Best candidate19 tx
880.38 QUAI • 28 addresses
08/12/2026, 5:05:10 P.M.
+2 min
7 tx
9.36 QUAI • 17 addresses
08/12/2026, 5:08:44 P.M.
-3 min
50 tx
876.25 QUAI • 59 addresses
08/12/2026, 5:03:59 P.M.
+3 min
2 tx
2.67 QUAI • 9 addresses
08/12/2026, 5:09:54 P.M.
-4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 7 addresses
08/12/2026, 5:02:48 P.M.
+4 min
1 tx
1.34 QUAI • 18 addresses
08/12/2026, 5:11:06 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
152.15 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/12/2026, 5:07:22 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x007ab0833c16867dBF36f29E51DE8C96C1f9CcCe
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
8 transactions
1.34 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/12/2026, 5:07:56 P.M.
From: 0x000eF1ed645F16Fb1388C764Ae4f05e35625B3A6
To: 0x00700BD124Ffab1f7062D177aF1BB323Efee2665
Tx: 0x00160049e4033221d00748296ba79279f48617b41bdc56bcc43a750296df118a
1.34 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/12/2026, 5:07:56 P.M.
From: 0x000eF1ed645F16Fb1388C764Ae4f05e35625B3A6
To: 0x0024Cb6d759046ce67E846e2c1d38A37641cA367
Tx: 0x0057005311c1f6773eab8919594ebc0ce5ec00bdb97bb7a65cb74e78ea88bc2c
1.34 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/12/2026, 5:07:22 P.M.
From: 0x000eF1ed645F16Fb1388C764Ae4f05e35625B3A6
To: 0x007d27960335836b1aEA7312CCd8e48Db95227A0
Tx: 0x00540036d26220f0136a542c3edebf5d65b8e12fbdba0e4d87a3a4039f816c77
1.34 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/12/2026, 5:07:22 P.M.
From: 0x000eF1ed645F16Fb1388C764Ae4f05e35625B3A6
To: 0x002a0AC96b01A542721BE67028014F51f48ca211
Tx: 0x00300071f8e6da3b991d7f93ab68e07ccbc24274981d107feb0bd54beabfe471
1.34 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/12/2026, 5:07:22 P.M.
From: 0x000eF1ed645F16Fb1388C764Ae4f05e35625B3A6
To: 0x007d27960335836b1aEA7312CCd8e48Db95227A0
Tx: 0x001a0063d420adabca0adefbe1018ea88ad50acf38de6ea2e54fd1d221f297dd
1.34 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/12/2026, 5:07:22 P.M.
From: 0x000eF1ed645F16Fb1388C764Ae4f05e35625B3A6
To: 0x0008159eF6d55C4e0Ddb6D6fC8b6095a45C58144
Tx: 0x000f00037632c25a5e1db0030327add920270fee9e69f99cb597852197362859
102.71 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/12/2026, 5:07:22 P.M.
From: 0x004D1D330eB95CFdec44062D314fb261C154C4A1
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0071001f9c04c145b0dfefaa6daa1a4bc5ec90723897042670ecb0e099248c8f
152.15 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/12/2026, 5:07:22 P.M.
From: 0x007ab0833c16867dBF36f29E51DE8C96C1f9CcCe
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0007006260c5dfa60fc7f0f36c7c6be3938fa27b42c0324c9a0836cf49a12c9d
