Spike bucket
08/12/2026, 4:48:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/12/2026, 4:48:00 P.M. to 08/12/2026, 4:49:00 P.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
25% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 6,709.51
Unexplained QUAI: 19,999.2
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 75% of explained volume
Relative context
4.1x above local average
1.0x next minute
Largest nearby bucket
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
4
Observable rows
3
75.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
14
Asset volume
26,708.72 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0022646d0cbf8456E6f9f5a5dD6BBB9754ed30f1 • 0x0004e31f55d13e714cE808D20608a8545344D19F.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + low confidence + 26709 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 50
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0022646d0cbf8456E6f9f5a5dD6BBB9754ed30f1 • 0x0004e31f55d13e714cE808D20608a8545344D19F.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 08/12/2026, 4:48:00 P.M.
Coverage gap high (75% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (25%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is miner pool (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize miner distribution/accumulation checks before mixed-flow hypotheses.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Validate miner pool context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies miner pool context.
Top actors in this event
K1 Mining pool
Net sender
Miner pool
6,709.51 QUAI across 3 visible rows
Known watch context
0x0004e31f55d13e714cE808D20608a8545344D19F
Net receiver
Unknown type
5,000 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0024b8069B746863034e46A2eB2F4dcd8548B4c7
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,501.56 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x003592d73E3ffEC8203fc72ACf9a8a09F5B5A0A9
Net receiver
Unknown type
207.95 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
-1 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
08/12/2026, 4:47:27 P.M.
+1 min
Best candidate4 tx
26,708.72 QUAI • 14 addresses
08/12/2026, 4:48:37 P.M.
-2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
08/12/2026, 4:46:16 P.M.
+2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
08/12/2026, 4:49:49 P.M.
-3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
08/12/2026, 4:45:04 P.M.
+3 min
2 tx
24,998.39 QUAI • 12 addresses
08/12/2026, 4:51:00 P.M.
-4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
08/12/2026, 4:43:53 P.M.
+4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 9 addresses
08/12/2026, 4:52:11 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
5,000 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceWhale to whale
Cyprus-1
08/12/2026, 4:48:05 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: K1 Mining pool
0x0022646d0cbf8456E6f9f5a5dD6BBB9754ed30f1
Miner pool
To: 0x0004e31f55d13e714cE808D20608a8545344D19F
All transfers in this selected minute
3 transactions
1,501.56 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/12/2026, 4:48:05 P.M.
From: K1 Mining pool
0x0022646d0cbf8456E6f9f5a5dD6BBB9754ed30f1
Miner pool
To: 0x0024b8069B746863034e46A2eB2F4dcd8548B4c7
Tx: 0x00280013d72fb571ebc809277672bca276276d12dbafdfb22ba0e51daa5cff42
5,000 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceWhale to whale
Cyprus-1
08/12/2026, 4:48:05 P.M.
From: K1 Mining pool
0x0022646d0cbf8456E6f9f5a5dD6BBB9754ed30f1
Miner pool
To: 0x0004e31f55d13e714cE808D20608a8545344D19F
Tx: 0x002d007057120e8a9f5f0eea1abae161f171bf700a321a00a6e8b160285c1d37
207.95 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/12/2026, 4:48:05 P.M.
From: K1 Mining pool
0x0022646d0cbf8456E6f9f5a5dD6BBB9754ed30f1
Miner pool
To: 0x003592d73E3ffEC8203fc72ACf9a8a09F5B5A0A9
Tx: 0x00350001759c52ff5ce0e5536356185d6569a07e50b39b46b20a9d69536bd34b