Spike bucket
08/12/2026, 3:26:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/12/2026, 3:26:00 P.M. to 08/12/2026, 3:27:00 P.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
21% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 3,849.92
Unexplained QUAI: 14,523.21
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 13% of explained volume
Relative context
0.3x above local average
0.6x previous minute
4.8x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by distributed visible activity.
The spike appears distributed, but some of the bucket still remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
32
Observable rows
8
25.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
46
Asset volume
18,373.13 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
medium priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987 • 0x003b1B44a596056810E215CdfAf009E3F0234B17.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + low confidence + 18373 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 27
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987 • 0x003b1B44a596056810E215CdfAf009E3F0234B17.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 8 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 08/12/2026, 3:26:00 P.M.
Coverage gap high (79% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 8 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • observable coverage remains partial (21%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
Gate.io hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
3,849.92 QUAI across 8 visible rows
Known watch context
0x003b1B44a596056810E215CdfAf009E3F0234B17
Net sender
Unknown type
506.9 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x000C11662eE5319eFc008367C8C2BD47bFc81584
Net sender
Unknown type
505.43 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0040229c8A405cb5fE47F810C52A04382e0C10b0
Net sender
Unknown type
503.62 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00263215E71B295383730Ca46a28166c3AAc3609
Net sender
Unknown type
495.13 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 3,849.92 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
32 tx
18,373.13 QUAI • 46 addresses
08/12/2026, 3:26:00 P.M.
-1 min
32 tx
32,782.84 QUAI • 45 addresses
08/12/2026, 3:24:47 P.M.
+1 min
8 tx
3,849.92 QUAI • 22 addresses
08/12/2026, 3:27:13 P.M.
-2 min
21 tx
25,637.89 QUAI • 32 addresses
08/12/2026, 3:23:35 P.M.
+2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 8 addresses
08/12/2026, 3:28:24 P.M.
-4 min
13 tx
30,927.44 QUAI • 25 addresses
08/12/2026, 3:22:23 P.M.
+4 min
3 tx
2,998.74 QUAI • 11 addresses
08/12/2026, 3:29:34 P.M.
-5 min
Best candidate10 tx
441,053.37 QUAI • 24 addresses
08/12/2026, 3:21:11 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
506.9 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/12/2026, 3:26:28 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x003b1B44a596056810E215CdfAf009E3F0234B17
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
8 transactions
495.13 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/12/2026, 3:26:28 P.M.
From: 0x00263215E71B295383730Ca46a28166c3AAc3609
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x00400005c3a4c5230f418f211e6ffcdff3ebdc9babccfcf5f98220691c5b5672
505.43 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/12/2026, 3:26:28 P.M.
From: 0x000C11662eE5319eFc008367C8C2BD47bFc81584
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x0012003773c461039b8d0d2ce323b5ae3d2f7b59bfd8eb38e5da6f421d05e288
503.62 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/12/2026, 3:26:28 P.M.
From: 0x0040229c8A405cb5fE47F810C52A04382e0C10b0
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x002200467ac974ff33b4571c8a2f56724adcf9e71765d7b9d3622614cda99e9a
506.9 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/12/2026, 3:26:28 P.M.
From: 0x003b1B44a596056810E215CdfAf009E3F0234B17
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x0076004ab409e0f6b383c7a2da59cf0cace5d15141367eeea5865222e8fb834d
460.19 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/12/2026, 3:26:28 P.M.
From: Kryptex miner
0x0016fe34C55A301e7a9108Fc9d413290CE17C1E5
Miner wallet
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x0040006493e5e85573bc940e1df2441c28059f010666171df25daa0d09a946a8
449.1 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/12/2026, 3:26:28 P.M.
From: 0x0024Ef44119C8130BB018D737dCaFe5608dbD681
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x0029002a5ffdaad3e1bdb6eb859230f7b66530f8516c5145a8e081464f616d6f
445.34 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/12/2026, 3:26:28 P.M.
From: 0x004b74018Ca4f3FD63fa41688534dc826012B3f5
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x00300023a8216e0f57d73676f12e322a7c884c7382539990a963ad8ddacc1f1c
484.21 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/12/2026, 3:26:28 P.M.
From: 0x002E825b4AC890AD61FdaA2205CF518E501f5deE
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x00260049cd273671e2ec7c3a95c3347ce4b5a3fe45c51de83d6f50fa67fbe98b