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Spike bucket

08/12/2026, 3:24:00 P.M.

Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.

Window: 08/12/2026, 3:24:00 P.M. to 08/12/2026, 3:25:00 P.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
28% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 9,083.24
Unexplained QUAI: 23,699.61
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 9% of explained volume
Relative context
0.5x above local average
1.1x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by distributed visible activity.
The spike appears distributed, but some of the bucket still remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
32
Observable rows
13
40.6% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
45
Asset volume
32,782.84 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default

Event intelligence

medium priority
What happened
Top actor concentration: 0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987 • 0x000d3A66c0f0faBA1D5D5EdDb3BC175E4dF4d7FC.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + low confidence + 32783 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 32
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987 • 0x000d3A66c0f0faBA1D5D5EdDb3BC175E4dF4d7FC.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidenceSource coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 13 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context windowThin source coverage
Last updated: 08/12/2026, 3:24:00 P.M.
Coverage gap high (72% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 13 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • observable coverage remains partial (28%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
  • Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
  • Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
  • Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.

Top actors in this event

Gate.io hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
9,083.24 QUAI across 13 visible rows
Known watch context
0x000d3A66c0f0faBA1D5D5EdDb3BC175E4dF4d7FC
Net sender
Unknown type
786.4 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0014e8b32A212DF7ae5543F0B95bb6ae6dE24809
Net sender
Unknown type
770.3 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0038F100cDd3e9Fb74f518FC9D0C19cB35e5457b
Net sender
Unknown type
766.27 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x005a0701d5111De546C5614A04C8eA96EB2CCA0D
Net sender
Unknown type
757.2 QUAI across 1 visible row

Relationship intelligence

Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 9,083.24 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI

Evidence checks

Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
  • Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
  • Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
  • Review latest signal or spike before changing status.

Autonomous outcome

Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigations

Inspect nearby minutes

Jump around the selected bucket quickly when the exact minute is sparse, delayed, or mostly aggregated.

13 observable transfers were found for this minute, but the bucket total is 32. The remaining 19 entries are chain transactions that were not stored as displayable transfer rows in the current dataset, typically because they are non-value, self, contract/system, or otherwise non-observable transfer activity.

Biggest whale alert

786.4 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/12/2026, 3:24:23 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x000d3A66c0f0faBA1D5D5EdDb3BC175E4dF4d7FC
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Open txWallet profile

All transfers in this selected minute

13 transactions
668.58 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/12/2026, 3:24:23 P.M.
From: 0x0078c5D3BBd2B085E92ba4c3fc53681575C2a255
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x001e0043d123d59491956e7693109bf5adc8ef5ea548f69cd6d27ab17c4fc2ed
Open txWallet profile
739.26 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/12/2026, 3:24:23 P.M.
From: 0x0012CbE99622952db4D2382f47365fd5Ee2c78FD
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x0016007ba70f782beb2b88d4d029c3ae82e1517e0054db0f0a64eccb13ade921
Open txWallet profile
706.35 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/12/2026, 3:24:23 P.M.
From: 0x00573361C17f12af330847A6eb72dDB173bc2a30
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x006100758707ac690bb870187ee591f113d97cfee3e99b128f8a74e06eff9b37
Open txWallet profile
686.56 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/12/2026, 3:24:23 P.M.
From: 0x0069291293b35eAFfF549222aD72AEF853B11677
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x002b0036efb83ec3f81e4acde6b7f8e350c638d9756542a9772a4b1bbc4277a6
Open txWallet profile
770.3 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/12/2026, 3:24:23 P.M.
From: 0x0014e8b32A212DF7ae5543F0B95bb6ae6dE24809
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x0049007d824e8c98b7b6121c844d5d569ade7f0f7bfda5a4e884b2d3b5ebdfb1
Open txWallet profile
689.7 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/12/2026, 3:24:23 P.M.
From: 0x007F95f6B1De175cf3ab31eDD47C98CC5dDB3cC4
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x006f007820559f40e01b43ac7d6b9b162c9a8496619d27e8e485bead7d43ba5d
Open txWallet profile
757.2 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/12/2026, 3:24:23 P.M.
From: 0x005a0701d5111De546C5614A04C8eA96EB2CCA0D
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x0031006b9ef1289d9cd4e48d4b41075ad8e77341d11df59d4899c6ea7e1498d3
Open txWallet profile
659.68 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/12/2026, 3:24:23 P.M.
From: 0x007f445007977f177663c0Dd44a1E6a812329d64
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x00060051b74461a9784abdfa20f6db299a5bbeccc223a0979ac755391a38fcd0
Open txWallet profile
625.14 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/12/2026, 3:24:23 P.M.
From: 0x006821214E6c7c9Beb40bd0493664E89b7e18085
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x00040055e416e9f303779db75b89fb1f6d967e6b4425800bacb100f332a03c2f
Open txWallet profile
786.4 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/12/2026, 3:24:23 P.M.
From: 0x000d3A66c0f0faBA1D5D5EdDb3BC175E4dF4d7FC
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x0057003aab96f6a68e85f25ba52becad6c8f2ca22c8129491baab55c86741e3d
Open txWallet profile
622.3 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/12/2026, 3:24:23 P.M.
From: 0x006A25c98F7D08584Fc5605e57CFb98D8889bc63
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x007c00330798701ac09d7b22c37bbd1f0277d70ea48b80cee5e4a4974a09d8ca
Open txWallet profile
766.27 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/12/2026, 3:24:23 P.M.
From: 0x0038F100cDd3e9Fb74f518FC9D0C19cB35e5457b
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x0059005d2dd77dc4868685ebb223d926f25f50ec01994a3b704d8c29013b251b
Open txWallet profile
605.5 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/12/2026, 3:24:23 P.M.
From: 0x00743a2bF1c35514DAb84180e40D9C09C9B3C7d0
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x00580010012799812762d4d607964abe357d2f3722840d343b9fcbb51a80b1a5
Open txWallet profile