Spike bucket
08/12/2026, 3:20:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/12/2026, 3:20:00 P.M. to 08/12/2026, 3:21:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Large spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 340,565.31
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 67% of explained volume
Relative context
5.4x above local average
0.8x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
4
Observable rows
4
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
6
Asset volume
340,565.31 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987 • 0x002a08a5738c760Cca57A4b3F28Da7257982Ca49.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 340565 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 66
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987 • 0x002a08a5738c760Cca57A4b3F28Da7257982Ca49.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 08/12/2026, 3:20:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
Gate.io hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
338,492.15 QUAI across 3 visible rows
Known watch context
0x002a08a5738c760Cca57A4b3F28Da7257982Ca49
Net sender
Unknown type
226,944.93 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x003db9a5b9765b8FF4EE824e259e1f6EdF24BDDf
Net sender
Unknown type
56,338.43 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00229cedD994a28cD1fe37C6a85E80AE909C8241
Net sender
Unknown type
55,208.79 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0053F0DFcF21E54027251cC8FF5F8994d988F67E
Net sender
Unknown type
2,073.15 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 338,492.15 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
2 tx
7,625.86 QUAI • 15 addresses
08/12/2026, 3:19:58 P.M.
-1 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 9 addresses
08/12/2026, 3:18:48 P.M.
+1 min
Best candidate10 tx
441,053.37 QUAI • 24 addresses
08/12/2026, 3:21:11 P.M.
-2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
08/12/2026, 3:17:38 P.M.
+2 min
13 tx
30,927.44 QUAI • 25 addresses
08/12/2026, 3:22:23 P.M.
-4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
08/12/2026, 3:16:27 P.M.
+4 min
21 tx
25,637.89 QUAI • 32 addresses
08/12/2026, 3:23:35 P.M.
-5 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 8 addresses
08/12/2026, 3:15:17 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
226,944.93 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceWhale to whale
Cyprus-1
08/12/2026, 3:20:46 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x002a08a5738c760Cca57A4b3F28Da7257982Ca49
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
4 transactions
56,338.43 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/12/2026, 3:20:46 P.M.
From: 0x003db9a5b9765b8FF4EE824e259e1f6EdF24BDDf
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x00510019ee5aca9abeb8835cc9aa66ca9ebbd3d92431cd4ace491c364bd1b647
226,944.93 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceWhale to whale
Cyprus-1
08/12/2026, 3:20:46 P.M.
From: 0x002a08a5738c760Cca57A4b3F28Da7257982Ca49
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x00230077ff82069baa6bffcf978d2441a7f713bf5d69e990c9d70ae60102229f
55,208.79 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceWhale to whale
Cyprus-1
08/12/2026, 3:20:46 P.M.
From: 0x00229cedD994a28cD1fe37C6a85E80AE909C8241
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x006d0002efc3b4de7f3a7e5e659c16c23cc72a7d109ea625cf69238a17c491f7
2,073.15 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/12/2026, 3:20:46 P.M.
From: 0x0053F0DFcF21E54027251cC8FF5F8994d988F67E
To: 0x0072E296d3EFe8B6707a08A45660d8a575b52Cfe
Tx: 0x00200071572d04d750faece5755491a7baad700bbfd45072b0fda15c7909ad03