Spike bucket
08/12/2026, 3:11:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/12/2026, 3:11:00 P.M. to 08/12/2026, 3:12:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 212.25
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 52% of explained volume
Relative context
0.9x above local average
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
2
Observable rows
2
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
14
Asset volume
212.25 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x000027730178c2C1bDfa5FE22ecb72Fe3cE765c2.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 212 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x000027730178c2C1bDfa5FE22ecb72Fe3cE765c2.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 08/12/2026, 3:11:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
212.25 QUAI across 2 visible rows
Known watch context
0x000027730178c2C1bDfa5FE22ecb72Fe3cE765c2
Net sender
Unknown type
110.83 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0007fbfD1b2172Dd8EE6E8F1Dbe0ce38A6301a7B
Net sender
Unknown type
101.42 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 212.25 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
0 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
08/12/2026, 3:10:33 P.M.
+1 min
2 tx
212.25 QUAI • 14 addresses
08/12/2026, 3:11:44 P.M.
-2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
08/12/2026, 3:09:21 P.M.
+2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
08/12/2026, 3:12:56 P.M.
-3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 9 addresses
08/12/2026, 3:08:10 P.M.
+3 min
Best candidate2 tx
1,441.4 QUAI • 14 addresses
08/12/2026, 3:14:06 P.M.
-4 min
3 tx
326.04 QUAI • 15 addresses
08/12/2026, 3:07:00 P.M.
+4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 8 addresses
08/12/2026, 3:15:17 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
110.83 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/12/2026, 3:11:36 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x000027730178c2C1bDfa5FE22ecb72Fe3cE765c2
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
2 transactions
101.42 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/12/2026, 3:11:36 P.M.
From: 0x0007fbfD1b2172Dd8EE6E8F1Dbe0ce38A6301a7B
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x004a00578110357d1a47c276fd460b83add3cfdd5fc133757fdb9e56ab61964b
110.83 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/12/2026, 3:11:36 P.M.
From: 0x000027730178c2C1bDfa5FE22ecb72Fe3cE765c2
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00050017d10766e3e13c1cbf66487cb28d3e1a3c48cae24d9bac5ad7ff94dbdf