Spike bucket
08/12/2026, 2:03:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/12/2026, 2:03:00 P.M. to 08/12/2026, 2:04:00 P.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
42% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 437.99
Unexplained QUAI: 613.54
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 47% of explained volume
Relative context
2.6x above local average
2.5x previous minute
2.4x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by multiple visible transfers.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
50
Observable rows
10
20.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
58
Asset volume
1,051.54 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
medium priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da • 0x001F0af9403592c11b9e07659dc2F740e3075C39.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + low confidence + 1052 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 37
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da • 0x001F0af9403592c11b9e07659dc2F740e3075C39.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 10 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 08/12/2026, 2:03:00 P.M.
Coverage gap high (58% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 10 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • observable coverage remains partial (42%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
Net sender
Unknown type
437.99 QUAI across 10 visible rows
0x001F0af9403592c11b9e07659dc2F740e3075C39
Net receiver
Unknown type
207.01 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0059521422C0F8fC0967393b225188483C655e15
Net receiver
Unknown type
125.06 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00770CaEFe5F9b09157B67Ea504dc6fc43E509f8
Net receiver
Unknown type
60.48 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002a02366D5D81d81d74d4f520B9c1Cd17f5e50e
Net receiver
Unknown type
10.1 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
50 tx
1,051.54 QUAI • 58 addresses
08/12/2026, 2:03:14 P.M.
-1 min
25 tx
424.12 QUAI • 34 addresses
08/12/2026, 2:02:03 P.M.
+1 min
10 tx
437.99 QUAI • 20 addresses
08/12/2026, 2:04:25 P.M.
-2 min
Best candidate25 tx
1,323.86 QUAI • 40 addresses
08/12/2026, 2:00:49 P.M.
-3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 7 addresses
08/12/2026, 1:59:39 P.M.
+3 min
1 tx
15.45 QUAI • 11 addresses
08/12/2026, 2:05:36 P.M.
+4 min
1 tx
6.59 QUAI • 14 addresses
08/12/2026, 2:06:48 P.M.
-5 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
08/12/2026, 1:58:29 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
207.01 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/12/2026, 2:03:58 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x001F0af9403592c11b9e07659dc2F740e3075C39
All transfers in this selected minute
10 transactions
60.48 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/12/2026, 2:03:58 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x00770CaEFe5F9b09157B67Ea504dc6fc43E509f8
Tx: 0x007200430c27b9e15aa0a734c172a3180b3b87d3f657e5a51a1a55f3d4b56b34
6.93 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/12/2026, 2:03:58 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0012BF2C8A60ac40572824fD2F575e7CAAE7af95
Tx: 0x0069003c21959bb815867891fb28a83b2bf875f57da09cc859026f8a6619cc92
4.9 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/12/2026, 2:03:58 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x006F95Ab5693D0d02287f10eeDb1E0F1D5C66320
Tx: 0x0036005af9193cc45019cd3d5a28a9722514d24ce057bc7e09728b7bfa29633a
4.57 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/12/2026, 2:03:58 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0026556e1Be909a07f299A03f8e78181a1f5C654
Tx: 0x00010054b1babbf4276112d62f1bc269b59ce8a34fc8012396fa4d45a80c70e0
10.1 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/12/2026, 2:03:58 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x002a02366D5D81d81d74d4f520B9c1Cd17f5e50e
Tx: 0x0059007d075ce42a30e721ccded16e5adaceabd677d4f960ffba0c3fd8aa7343
207.01 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/12/2026, 2:03:58 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x001F0af9403592c11b9e07659dc2F740e3075C39
Tx: 0x006d0001d382e72a5bdc796c61bdc2bb58b06fc3432fc323f6c04b4831562d7f
4.39 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/12/2026, 2:03:58 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x00165B99043521763bb87537D7c7C24EC32247d2
Tx: 0x00330033487529f5822b47bc6dea20568c181c4b84ea68bb219a5f11551cb211
8.67 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/12/2026, 2:03:58 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x003c82ECb4b9D3756F2cd7484713a5F4B0CA16bC
Tx: 0x000400155f1421703ba22fa73b699ea114dcb52e0786c4f6de8fedef60da6ec1
5.88 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/12/2026, 2:03:58 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x00536c5c3BF90B1E899871208eC62D33250A841e
Tx: 0x0038001b0fff1433c026574f713ea39fef5604cd97ab170f21dbbc513c310b8f
125.06 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/12/2026, 2:03:58 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0059521422C0F8fC0967393b225188483C655e15
Tx: 0x002900027b6910b82676052162e2294a04707f82d1c60a249b209e5f1fec2bc1