Spike bucket
08/12/2026, 1:14:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/12/2026, 1:14:00 P.M. to 08/12/2026, 1:15:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 32,097.63
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 62% of explained volume
Relative context
8.0x above local average
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
14
Observable rows
14
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
23
Asset volume
32,097.63 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 32098 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 60
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 14 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 08/12/2026, 1:14:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 14 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
23,097.63 QUAI across 5 visible rows
Known watch context
0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
Net sender
Unknown type
19,998.73 QUAI across 1 visible row
K1 Mining pool
Net sender
Miner pool
9,000 QUAI across 9 visible rows
Known watch context
0x005a045F7bB830cf070c47a1A5F9b7d95D43f304
Balanced
Unknown type
1,999.56 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x004a6CCE919d3E359b135Eb543BBCcB6818E8164
Balanced
Unknown type
1,999.56 QUAI across 2 visible rows
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 23,097.63 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
0 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
08/12/2026, 1:13:45 P.M.
-1 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
08/12/2026, 1:12:33 P.M.
+1 min
Best candidate14 tx
32,097.63 QUAI • 23 addresses
08/12/2026, 1:14:55 P.M.
+2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
08/12/2026, 1:16:07 P.M.
-3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
08/12/2026, 1:11:22 P.M.
+3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 9 addresses
08/12/2026, 1:17:18 P.M.
-4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
08/12/2026, 1:10:12 P.M.
+4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
08/12/2026, 1:18:28 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
19,998.73 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/12/2026, 1:14:36 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
14 transactions
999.56 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/12/2026, 1:14:36 P.M.
From: 0x005a045F7bB830cf070c47a1A5F9b7d95D43f304
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0076006fd323d3dc870f6376becce293a879fa443216588e970f5c331035db29
999.56 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/12/2026, 1:14:36 P.M.
From: 0x004a6CCE919d3E359b135Eb543BBCcB6818E8164
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0001006049827199acb8ef786bd963699b3057dea7399bbde820cf0a612deefc
19,998.73 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/12/2026, 1:14:36 P.M.
From: 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0011002bf91767caaad46763d9a850318e03434742e8b8358ba290f758f68818
100.24 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/12/2026, 1:14:36 P.M.
From: 0x002536BB0CcD07e62c83B286069BA9f73250eaA0
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x002400141a673d8b1620bac85112a054cd678d77eec441a65c19b038af35c982
999.56 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/12/2026, 1:14:36 P.M.
From: 0x00401Ab3bB553EC24D9D6bE4dBB6d3BA20A9e680
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0005005418b182ce2cec7b945d9ab1c5c2014b628f5c8d725fea079f2c322915
1,000 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/12/2026, 1:14:26 P.M.
From: K1 Mining pool
0x0022646d0cbf8456E6f9f5a5dD6BBB9754ed30f1
Miner pool
To: 0x001c8adD02a09A4f67F8d909a2C4fb496040FE75
Tx: 0x005e0072fbed5872380c838e33939fbd2ec4fc2172c89a95d6cdbdea68c13963
1,000 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/12/2026, 1:14:26 P.M.
From: K1 Mining pool
0x0022646d0cbf8456E6f9f5a5dD6BBB9754ed30f1
Miner pool
To: 0x00265381e27101799bEd81D04CFD6D7909B3a1C6
Tx: 0x0014005b6196ce6a7963dd51683bb38d6c52e58a93d4de337d0f32ce8648c4c9
1,000 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/12/2026, 1:14:26 P.M.
From: K1 Mining pool
0x0022646d0cbf8456E6f9f5a5dD6BBB9754ed30f1
Miner pool
To: 0x004a6CCE919d3E359b135Eb543BBCcB6818E8164
Tx: 0x00690020dfdb5beaf520d1999f1465b1d358c6643994ffadd25ca639b0c63852
1,000 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/12/2026, 1:14:26 P.M.
From: K1 Mining pool
0x0022646d0cbf8456E6f9f5a5dD6BBB9754ed30f1
Miner pool
To: 0x0031C85E2f1C602Cc20607c9B7e8F0BfDc4b4C09
Tx: 0x000a006285f36b353337b607b64ea420ff284cd3b3aba2d17a6807bcc3ff8f6e
1,000 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/12/2026, 1:14:26 P.M.
From: K1 Mining pool
0x0022646d0cbf8456E6f9f5a5dD6BBB9754ed30f1
Miner pool
To: 0x007813a4b515c47C1058E8455D319840A18d60f6
Tx: 0x0063001afdb0ddd355bb277ac72a91c84cc0fcbd597eac14806441a39ca1c452
1,000 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/12/2026, 1:14:26 P.M.
From: K1 Mining pool
0x0022646d0cbf8456E6f9f5a5dD6BBB9754ed30f1
Miner pool
To: 0x00413C934ab6ab2B1BA09702c8955D507e30D6c9
Tx: 0x00730006e5a710d62e9e17143ce8c58b56ac864268d7533df4e401cf35abea46
1,000 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/12/2026, 1:14:26 P.M.
From: K1 Mining pool
0x0022646d0cbf8456E6f9f5a5dD6BBB9754ed30f1
Miner pool
To: 0x005a045F7bB830cf070c47a1A5F9b7d95D43f304
Tx: 0x007a0056bbfe50fdb127d00416b42193ece746e0e67748f96a9ab01c82a5c35b
1,000 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/12/2026, 1:14:26 P.M.
From: K1 Mining pool
0x0022646d0cbf8456E6f9f5a5dD6BBB9754ed30f1
Miner pool
To: 0x00401Ab3bB553EC24D9D6bE4dBB6d3BA20A9e680
Tx: 0x00080062773668852310e07d792df6f4bc1a58cbb427ee473622ac7a430e29c2
1,000 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/12/2026, 1:14:26 P.M.
From: K1 Mining pool
0x0022646d0cbf8456E6f9f5a5dD6BBB9754ed30f1
Miner pool
To: 0x00623f55F93c9D44e3793Bde2C3E87fc5D97cC64
Tx: 0x003f0053cbdb5fc7d3001887eada202bd2df05a537fc6ccbeacaeb69e90a544b
