Spike bucket
08/12/2026, 1:05:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/12/2026, 1:05:00 P.M. to 08/12/2026, 1:06:00 P.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
58% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 20,394.14
Unexplained QUAI: 15,064.35
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 98% of explained volume
Relative context
3.1x above local average
47x next minute
Largest nearby bucket
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
56
Observable rows
5
8.9% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
69
Asset volume
35,458.48 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + low confidence + 35458 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 50
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Partial source coverage
Last updated: 08/12/2026, 1:05:00 P.M.
Coverage gap moderate (42% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (58%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
20,328.97 QUAI across 4 visible rows
Known watch context
0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
Net sender
Unknown type
19,998.72 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00477ad3f237A822228bA4aE075849781895c8B5
Net sender
Unknown type
111.67 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002776F2cd8833C4409c9A17E1465214617CE92e
Net sender
Unknown type
111.4 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x006F01531266035955B36D375360aA15F10ED0cf
Net sender
Unknown type
107.17 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 20,328.97 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
Best candidate56 tx
35,458.48 QUAI • 69 addresses
08/12/2026, 1:05:27 P.M.
-1 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 9 addresses
08/12/2026, 1:04:16 P.M.
-2 min
1 tx
25,106.9 QUAI • 14 addresses
08/12/2026, 1:03:06 P.M.
+2 min
15 tx
758.39 QUAI • 26 addresses
08/12/2026, 1:06:39 P.M.
-3 min
50 tx
1,987.94 QUAI • 63 addresses
08/12/2026, 1:01:53 P.M.
+3 min
1 tx
34.63 QUAI • 14 addresses
08/12/2026, 1:07:50 P.M.
-4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
08/12/2026, 1:00:41 P.M.
+4 min
10 tx
28,999.17 QUAI • 19 addresses
08/12/2026, 1:09:01 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
19,998.72 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/12/2026, 1:05:05 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
5 transactions
65.17 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/12/2026, 1:05:05 P.M.
From: 0x0001BA1d467bFA8B5c09C7EAc2E8f8E283667E4B
To: 0x000Bd4a1F1184E4ad0e656f6db0Fc37916780491
Tx: 0x00690050d8ace2f78a952e87ebd383193f9afc67c1cc8898c3e40dd2262871d2
111.4 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/12/2026, 1:05:05 P.M.
From: 0x002776F2cd8833C4409c9A17E1465214617CE92e
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x002b002e58ab4d42d2b4d3f0be1d2087ecc44cb85032df7f69afdb61159f416e
111.67 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/12/2026, 1:05:05 P.M.
From: 0x00477ad3f237A822228bA4aE075849781895c8B5
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0037001fcd49d2b93c62e2006ecb5235d1a15b2d94fdb46705b8b3f10bc0e100
19,998.72 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/12/2026, 1:05:05 P.M.
From: 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0009001328c46ad9813737088ee427e8c89bd5b8cf5df4fef373c405cd257f01
107.17 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/12/2026, 1:05:05 P.M.
From: 0x006F01531266035955B36D375360aA15F10ED0cf
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00350011083de34f8ce1d4e0e5fe291efb97d7c03ab6b0de84358d53ee06794b