Spike bucket
08/12/2026, 12:10:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/12/2026, 12:10:00 P.M. to 08/12/2026, 12:11:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 20,610.14
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Explained QI: 641.01
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 97% of explained volume
Relative context
3.9x above local average
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
Visible rows account for most of the bucket with a clear leading transfer.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
10
Observable rows
10
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
9
Asset volume
20,610.14 QUAI
641.01 QI
Avg confidence
74.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + high confidence + 20610 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 63
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab.
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 -> 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 (4 repeated flows).
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 10 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no major confidence limiter detected in current sample
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 08/12/2026, 12:10:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 10 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
20,610.14 QUAI across 6 visible rows
Known watch context
0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
Net sender
Unknown type
19,998.67 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
Net sender
Unknown type
641.02 QI across 4 visible rows
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Net receiver
Unknown type
641.02 QI across 4 visible rows
0x00702f3A87e8dd0C5F674392DF7DCB42531CAB02
Net sender
Unknown type
151.24 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 → 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
4 repeated flows • 641.01 QI
Type concentration
To exchange: 20,610.14 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
0 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
08/12/2026, 12:09:57 P.M.
-1 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
08/12/2026, 12:08:45 P.M.
+1 min
10 tx
20,610.14 QUAI • 19 addresses
08/12/2026, 12:11:08 P.M.
-2 min
1 tx
5.1 QUAI • 15 addresses
08/12/2026, 12:07:34 P.M.
+2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
08/12/2026, 12:12:19 P.M.
-4 min
2 tx
24.41 QUAI • 10 addresses
08/12/2026, 12:06:24 P.M.
+4 min
2 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
08/12/2026, 12:13:30 P.M.
-5 min
Best candidate28 tx
21,522.33 QUAI • 40 addresses
08/12/2026, 12:05:13 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
19,998.67 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/12/2026, 12:10:39 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
10 transactions
162.78 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/12/2026, 12:10:55 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x004e00086be5316cc4d4f07ddc095336cd48e58a8c728151a9ef6fd8128e9c09
103.36 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/12/2026, 12:10:39 P.M.
From: 0x00734b901cF8B9d636C2E5cAAb3c38BC738AEb90
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x002000254d9096401a4c6a3113f7ba08aacbfed07a32ffde570d8864b2022399
103.32 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/12/2026, 12:10:39 P.M.
From: 0x0036B0138af563bAAff07fE11a115CE847d23B52
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0028002012623f3779cdf378ea01b337d922df362881675c8095b47daaaf0043
151.24 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/12/2026, 12:10:39 P.M.
From: 0x00702f3A87e8dd0C5F674392DF7DCB42531CAB02
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x006a00116d2dbc84f7140d5f9412acc0983de29cdf892bab85292996beddf5fd
19,998.67 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/12/2026, 12:10:39 P.M.
From: 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x006d003a866ca542c1852420d57ca2483f0a0f6a459b3adf6fe74c96cd9a6841
133.41 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/12/2026, 12:10:39 P.M.
From: 0x001D34B2650bb2D1716dd1eE877115375C540EbB
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x002d0028e25f12391092388236b862a67d57cc5c60948467524d26a7620d54fb
120.14 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/12/2026, 12:10:39 P.M.
From: 0x005E8fC2D987eab31887d75650ccbD041A88Dc7b
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x005300485daefea09955dd8e47319ff7c8544803ad6fd93bfe3a00093820f3a2
162.77 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/12/2026, 12:10:31 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x0017003a42c962349376cc723ebe812a2c2c0af6a24e8d15b05cdde8d0df31e4
157.72 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/12/2026, 12:10:06 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x007a0063e3f3b31734165794b3105a404e7afeffc6415cd78af94149225d4282
157.72 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/12/2026, 12:10:06 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x004800373bfe69b5bcd90cfe65ad3d72d1cf1a1e707f5419484c35cd22515803