Spike bucket
08/12/2026, 12:06:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/12/2026, 12:06:00 P.M. to 08/12/2026, 12:07:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 29.52
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 49% of explained volume
Relative context
0.0x above local average
0.0x previous minute
4.8x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
2
Observable rows
3
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
10
Asset volume
24.41 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0012fE99c6dE55353F373e1276b27a19d8A0b907 • 0x0061e8518Bbd996F3930504F99d3F8af28B19de9.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 24 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0012fE99c6dE55353F373e1276b27a19d8A0b907 • 0x0061e8518Bbd996F3930504F99d3F8af28B19de9.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 08/12/2026, 12:06:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0012fE99c6dE55353F373e1276b27a19d8A0b907
Net receiver
Unknown type
24.41 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x0061e8518Bbd996F3930504F99d3F8af28B19de9
Net sender
Unknown type
14.54 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x005BcE3cc1ceCD870bE5a2fcB6dEc9674FD95c79
Net sender
Unknown type
9.88 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0001467366abd35Be692Dd7B8cFD6A80d092C5ae
Net sender
Unknown type
5.1 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0075B7f9F9B07c9cB9797926399F7298Edf5E182
Net receiver
Unknown type
5.1 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
2 tx
24.41 QUAI • 10 addresses
08/12/2026, 12:06:24 P.M.
-1 min
Best candidate28 tx
21,522.33 QUAI • 40 addresses
08/12/2026, 12:05:13 P.M.
-2 min
52 tx
1,826.31 QUAI • 68 addresses
08/12/2026, 12:04:01 P.M.
+2 min
1 tx
5.1 QUAI • 15 addresses
08/12/2026, 12:07:34 P.M.
-3 min
2 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
08/12/2026, 12:02:50 P.M.
+3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
08/12/2026, 12:08:45 P.M.
-4 min
50 tx
2,064.79 QUAI • 53 addresses
08/12/2026, 12:01:39 P.M.
+4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
08/12/2026, 12:09:57 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
14.54 QUAI
Derived whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/12/2026, 12:06:09 P.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x0061e8518Bbd996F3930504F99d3F8af28B19de9
To: 0x0012fE99c6dE55353F373e1276b27a19d8A0b907
All transfers in this selected minute
3 transactions
5.1 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/12/2026, 12:06:49 P.M.
From: 0x0001467366abd35Be692Dd7B8cFD6A80d092C5ae
To: 0x0075B7f9F9B07c9cB9797926399F7298Edf5E182
Tx: 0x00350030f940b350a4e653f9b720d299952e5d6ab8a953fc22e077ea5ba52b11
9.88 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/12/2026, 12:06:09 P.M.
From: 0x005BcE3cc1ceCD870bE5a2fcB6dEc9674FD95c79
To: 0x0012fE99c6dE55353F373e1276b27a19d8A0b907
Tx: 0x0072000b8e5a10a5b08e49fe93dc5d84eb62285d38d7c948a8a8f5b8b8b2dc26
14.54 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/12/2026, 12:06:09 P.M.
From: 0x0061e8518Bbd996F3930504F99d3F8af28B19de9
To: 0x0012fE99c6dE55353F373e1276b27a19d8A0b907
Tx: 0x005e0024aae65e73206a40dfa47119fad1b0855528e0e1d3370d50deb46e10c2
