Spike bucket
08/12/2026, 7:13:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/12/2026, 7:13:00 A.M. to 08/12/2026, 7:14:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 40,104.39
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 50% of explained volume
Relative context
5.1x above local average
1.0x next minute
Largest nearby bucket
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
3
Observable rows
3
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
5
Asset volume
40,104.39 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0004bd2675df7f120FfF0F14a31E203C449B4B81.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 40104 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 60
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0004bd2675df7f120FfF0F14a31E203C449B4B81.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 08/12/2026, 7:13:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
20,105.28 QUAI across 2 visible rows
Known watch context
0x0004bd2675df7f120FfF0F14a31E203C449B4B81
Net sender
Unknown type
19,999.11 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002a08a5738c760Cca57A4b3F28Da7257982Ca49
Net receiver
Unknown type
19,999.11 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
Net sender
Unknown type
19,998.65 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0072CC14Cf0F186e4D39bdcEc0056b736Da79B23
Net sender
Unknown type
106.63 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 20,105.28 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
0 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
08/12/2026, 7:12:54 A.M.
-1 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
08/12/2026, 7:11:43 A.M.
+1 min
Best candidate3 tx
40,104.39 QUAI • 15 addresses
08/12/2026, 7:14:05 A.M.
-2 min
1 tx
2.87 QUAI • 14 addresses
08/12/2026, 7:10:33 A.M.
+2 min
1 tx
2,910 QUAI • 13 addresses
08/12/2026, 7:15:16 A.M.
+3 min
1 tx
19,999.11 QUAI • 9 addresses
08/12/2026, 7:16:26 A.M.
-4 min
1 tx
3.41 QUAI • 11 addresses
08/12/2026, 7:09:22 A.M.
-5 min
11 tx
229.01 QUAI • 25 addresses
08/12/2026, 7:08:12 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
19,999.11 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/12/2026, 7:13:19 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0004bd2675df7f120FfF0F14a31E203C449B4B81
To: 0x002a08a5738c760Cca57A4b3F28Da7257982Ca49
All transfers in this selected minute
3 transactions
106.63 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/12/2026, 7:13:51 A.M.
From: 0x0072CC14Cf0F186e4D39bdcEc0056b736Da79B23
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00220007cc661ecbc50905dbd64d1dd14f6281fc86924237e6a7eb31fd15c711
19,998.65 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/12/2026, 7:13:51 A.M.
From: 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x000300142bdebcbcfb93ea61d5c767d92b79cf23cd49e004dfeb6f7c18e69908
19,999.11 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/12/2026, 7:13:19 A.M.
From: 0x0004bd2675df7f120FfF0F14a31E203C449B4B81
To: 0x002a08a5738c760Cca57A4b3F28Da7257982Ca49
Tx: 0x005f0079dd16d7deef28bff419cfd8a82ac02e13dd3c28e0c6d88dad3841add6