Spike bucket
08/12/2026, 6:38:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/12/2026, 6:38:00 A.M. to 08/12/2026, 6:39:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 1,374.91
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 59% of explained volume
Relative context
2.6x above local average
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
3
Observable rows
3
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
13
Asset volume
1,374.64 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x003e6d9CaF8bB49fa74608906D805fE54e9B20BA • 0x003B0EBBD01D7B8133083B8dc6493D429B6d9600.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 1375 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x003e6d9CaF8bB49fa74608906D805fE54e9B20BA • 0x003B0EBBD01D7B8133083B8dc6493D429B6d9600.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 08/12/2026, 6:38:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x003e6d9CaF8bB49fa74608906D805fE54e9B20BA
Balanced
Unknown type
1,333.76 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x003B0EBBD01D7B8133083B8dc6493D429B6d9600
Net sender
Unknown type
808.62 QUAI across 1 visible row
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
525.13 QUAI across 1 visible row
Known watch context
0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c
Net sender
Unknown type
41.15 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002B574d3A2cCd0d405e23d9002F91E141394553
Net receiver
Unknown type
41.15 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 525.13 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
Best candidate4 tx
2,359.52 QUAI • 17 addresses
08/12/2026, 6:37:38 A.M.
+1 min
3 tx
1,374.64 QUAI • 13 addresses
08/12/2026, 6:38:48 A.M.
-2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
08/12/2026, 6:36:27 A.M.
+2 min
2 tx
82.34 QUAI • 13 addresses
08/12/2026, 6:39:58 A.M.
-3 min
3 tx
285.98 QUAI • 9 addresses
08/12/2026, 6:35:17 A.M.
+3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 9 addresses
08/12/2026, 6:41:10 A.M.
-4 min
2 tx
204.42 QUAI • 12 addresses
08/12/2026, 6:34:07 A.M.
+4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
08/12/2026, 6:42:20 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
808.62 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/12/2026, 6:38:25 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x003B0EBBD01D7B8133083B8dc6493D429B6d9600
To: 0x003e6d9CaF8bB49fa74608906D805fE54e9B20BA
All transfers in this selected minute
3 transactions
41.15 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/12/2026, 6:38:52 A.M.
From: 0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c
To: 0x002B574d3A2cCd0d405e23d9002F91E141394553
Tx: 0x006e00014e06619278b14b1e88de7068e3972c129900ef0d0e1cafcc4e11c139
808.62 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/12/2026, 6:38:25 A.M.
From: 0x003B0EBBD01D7B8133083B8dc6493D429B6d9600
To: 0x003e6d9CaF8bB49fa74608906D805fE54e9B20BA
Tx: 0x0027006b13b0ba6630de73b7be96ea5c0cdc83afd03ce495f30e8d98c59fe78d
525.13 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/12/2026, 6:38:00 A.M.
From: 0x003e6d9CaF8bB49fa74608906D805fE54e9B20BA
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x002a0003999d0416fd4aaed10209532ebbfd80f86bead00fc41e086e94373d40