Spike bucket
08/12/2026, 6:30:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/12/2026, 6:30:00 A.M. to 08/12/2026, 6:31:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
67% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 81.77
Unexplained QUAI: 40.88
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 50% of explained volume
Relative context
0.1x above local average
0.1x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
2
Observable rows
2
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
16
Asset volume
122.65 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c • 0x00793e85344a106C39439c6E2Aa15174Da78C90C.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 123 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c • 0x00793e85344a106C39439c6E2Aa15174Da78C90C.
0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c -> 0x00793e85344a106C39439c6E2Aa15174Da78C90C (2 repeated flows).
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Partial source coverage
Last updated: 08/12/2026, 6:30:00 A.M.
Coverage gap moderate (33% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c
Net sender
Unknown type
81.77 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x00793e85344a106C39439c6E2Aa15174Da78C90C
Net receiver
Unknown type
81.77 QUAI across 2 visible rows
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c → 0x00793e85344a106C39439c6E2Aa15174Da78C90C
2 repeated flows • 81.77 QUAI
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
-1 min
4 tx
892.08 QUAI • 19 addresses
08/12/2026, 6:29:23 A.M.
+1 min
2 tx
122.65 QUAI • 16 addresses
08/12/2026, 6:30:35 A.M.
-2 min
7 tx
405.99 QUAI • 21 addresses
08/12/2026, 6:28:12 A.M.
+2 min
1 tx
40.88 QUAI • 12 addresses
08/12/2026, 6:31:46 A.M.
-3 min
1 tx
305.42 QUAI • 13 addresses
08/12/2026, 6:27:02 A.M.
+3 min
2 tx
689.13 QUAI • 16 addresses
08/12/2026, 6:32:56 A.M.
-4 min
Best candidate13 tx
6,909.87 QUAI • 20 addresses
08/12/2026, 6:25:51 A.M.
+4 min
2 tx
204.42 QUAI • 12 addresses
08/12/2026, 6:34:07 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
40.88 QUAI
Derived whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/12/2026, 6:30:59 A.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c
To: 0x00793e85344a106C39439c6E2Aa15174Da78C90C
All transfers in this selected minute
2 transactions
40.88 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/12/2026, 6:30:59 A.M.
From: 0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c
To: 0x00793e85344a106C39439c6E2Aa15174Da78C90C
Tx: 0x00400068d36812b22b461bed3a6353922e74b1ddaa0b18110d0b66827089d145
40.88 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/12/2026, 6:30:27 A.M.
From: 0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c
To: 0x00793e85344a106C39439c6E2Aa15174Da78C90C
Tx: 0x00190052c7590a50e7e84048b9795a9c3444bce15b062107b1ead54d701baa6f