Spike bucket
08/12/2026, 6:07:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/12/2026, 6:07:00 A.M. to 08/12/2026, 6:08:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
18% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 16.03
Unexplained QUAI: 72.32
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 41% of explained volume
Relative context
0.0x above local average
0.0x previous minute
5.5x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
3
Observable rows
3
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
17
Asset volume
88.35 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519 • 0x002F091677EfB69cA85F15551592764A575C3AeA.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 88 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519 • 0x002F091677EfB69cA85F15551592764A575C3AeA.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 08/12/2026, 6:07:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (82% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (18%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Net receiver
Unknown type
11.09 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x002F091677EfB69cA85F15551592764A575C3AeA
Net sender
Unknown type
6.54 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0001467366abd35Be692Dd7B8cFD6A80d092C5ae
Net sender
Unknown type
4.95 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0075B7f9F9B07c9cB9797926399F7298Edf5E182
Net receiver
Unknown type
4.95 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x005182a1cAa86CB99209A4Ba3B3239971BEEA866
Net sender
Unknown type
4.55 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
3 tx
88.35 QUAI • 17 addresses
08/12/2026, 6:07:01 A.M.
-1 min
24 tx
24,647.43 QUAI • 34 addresses
08/12/2026, 6:05:51 A.M.
+1 min
3 tx
16.03 QUAI • 16 addresses
08/12/2026, 6:08:12 A.M.
-2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
08/12/2026, 6:04:40 A.M.
+2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
08/12/2026, 6:09:24 A.M.
-3 min
Best candidate52 tx
29,110.19 QUAI • 64 addresses
08/12/2026, 6:03:30 A.M.
+4 min
1 tx
1,790 QUAI • 9 addresses
08/12/2026, 6:10:34 A.M.
-5 min
50 tx
1,730.96 QUAI • 51 addresses
08/12/2026, 6:02:19 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
6.54 QUAI
Derived whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/12/2026, 6:07:37 A.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x002F091677EfB69cA85F15551592764A575C3AeA
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
All transfers in this selected minute
3 transactions
6.54 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/12/2026, 6:07:37 A.M.
From: 0x002F091677EfB69cA85F15551592764A575C3AeA
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x006000263240e46e3cb4138509dee8bd1e2fd978552d8d5ac03db32d4c46f72c
4.55 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/12/2026, 6:07:37 A.M.
From: 0x005182a1cAa86CB99209A4Ba3B3239971BEEA866
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x001a006a4a0c982838cb7c2bca036a4490bb8e844d040d33d565d722f3db4db6
4.95 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/12/2026, 6:07:06 A.M.
From: 0x0001467366abd35Be692Dd7B8cFD6A80d092C5ae
To: 0x0075B7f9F9B07c9cB9797926399F7298Edf5E182
Tx: 0x00680060bb255dbd56f6ee41896589b83f90d5f2a3059421cf3fd545e16d7239
