Spike bucket
08/12/2026, 5:07:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/12/2026, 5:07:00 A.M. to 08/12/2026, 5:08:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 173.71
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 57% of explained volume
Relative context
0.1x above local average
0.2x previous minute
0.5x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
2
Observable rows
5
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
15
Asset volume
62.99 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0021C62359cbFb14042ad28b2Ded753589faBE5b • 0x0075B7f9F9B07c9cB9797926399F7298Edf5E182.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 63 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0021C62359cbFb14042ad28b2Ded753589faBE5b • 0x0075B7f9F9B07c9cB9797926399F7298Edf5E182.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 08/12/2026, 5:07:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0021C62359cbFb14042ad28b2Ded753589faBE5b
Net sender
Unknown type
98.98 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0075B7f9F9B07c9cB9797926399F7298Edf5E182
Net receiver
Unknown type
98.98 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0014E7B8b1954e8988DA0b91850A215B87aD4564
Net sender
Unknown type
54.73 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0044fE4B2dC1a6F917ec3C1bD2152D47c024a840
Net receiver
Unknown type
54.73 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Net receiver
Unknown type
20.01 QUAI across 3 visible rows
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
2 tx
62.99 QUAI • 15 addresses
08/12/2026, 5:07:09 A.M.
-1 min
4 tx
308.09 QUAI • 14 addresses
08/12/2026, 5:05:58 A.M.
+1 min
4 tx
118.98 QUAI • 16 addresses
08/12/2026, 5:08:19 A.M.
-2 min
Best candidate25 tx
1,928.38 QUAI • 34 addresses
08/12/2026, 5:04:46 A.M.
+2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 6 addresses
08/12/2026, 5:09:29 A.M.
-3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 7 addresses
08/12/2026, 5:03:35 A.M.
+4 min
1 tx
3.65 QUAI • 12 addresses
08/12/2026, 5:10:39 A.M.
-5 min
50 tx
1,299.36 QUAI • 58 addresses
08/12/2026, 5:02:25 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
98.98 QUAI
Derived whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/12/2026, 5:07:44 A.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x0021C62359cbFb14042ad28b2Ded753589faBE5b
To: 0x0075B7f9F9B07c9cB9797926399F7298Edf5E182
All transfers in this selected minute
5 transactions
98.98 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/12/2026, 5:07:44 A.M.
From: 0x0021C62359cbFb14042ad28b2Ded753589faBE5b
To: 0x0075B7f9F9B07c9cB9797926399F7298Edf5E182
Tx: 0x0075003307bae618f5ead5b8d5ccfa25e0b55990356c97d309761c9f415db638
7.23 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/12/2026, 5:07:15 A.M.
From: 0x00093Df76A2EE3Cf4A58d7C6855c1b84df891F9b
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x0007001b0283faaba79725a68bcb3b0b3c6a1b83e2c85568b9d25a5d00a3c3b2
6.18 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/12/2026, 5:07:15 A.M.
From: 0x002e7a2740849Ea995A97e3d4EEf2640C999D00B
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x002900190a6eec9d4e33b055a7cc472cb37b13e7826c081b7b472f10535599e2
6.6 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/12/2026, 5:07:15 A.M.
From: 0x00673ecBb6b73B2228C33445D9cA88f48D5831DA
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x006b0040788405040faf8570015296ec2559c9288a6d23e02461949627024695
54.73 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/12/2026, 5:07:03 A.M.
From: 0x0014E7B8b1954e8988DA0b91850A215B87aD4564
To: 0x0044fE4B2dC1a6F917ec3C1bD2152D47c024a840
Tx: 0x006400196166e2decc3947479922c3ed5ce04324f01f8056c0f111d97bb11e33