Spike bucket
08/12/2026, 4:10:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/12/2026, 4:10:00 A.M. to 08/12/2026, 4:11:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 776.41
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Explained QI: 0
Unexplained QI: 160.85
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 55% of explained volume
Relative context
0.5x above local average
8.1x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
2
Observable rows
4
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
12
Asset volume
49.4 QUAI
160.85 QI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x005784f7A9D9f696bd171322B15fB05653942fD8.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 49 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x005784f7A9D9f696bd171322B15fB05653942fD8.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 08/12/2026, 4:10:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
727.01 QUAI across 3 visible rows
Known watch context
0x005784f7A9D9f696bd171322B15fB05653942fD8
Net sender
Unknown type
423.42 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0019F9b43cb6f2Ff7b0fFC61C0F0976b3ca1D23e
Net sender
Unknown type
201.32 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x000cDD7d2F6Ef30215B7f8A8d7c409AdF3935b86
Net sender
Unknown type
102.27 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004b0015A5a719765d2CeBF08dE8cfb965593F17
Net sender
Unknown type
49.4 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 727.01 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
2 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
08/12/2026, 4:09:32 A.M.
+1 min
2 tx
49.4 QUAI • 12 addresses
08/12/2026, 4:10:43 A.M.
-2 min
3 tx
6.1 QUAI • 16 addresses
08/12/2026, 4:08:22 A.M.
+2 min
Best candidate4 tx
727.01 QUAI • 14 addresses
08/12/2026, 4:11:53 A.M.
-3 min
5 tx
79.95 QUAI • 17 addresses
08/12/2026, 4:07:12 A.M.
+3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 8 addresses
08/12/2026, 4:13:05 A.M.
-4 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 15 addresses
08/12/2026, 4:06:02 A.M.
+4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 9 addresses
08/12/2026, 4:14:15 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
423.42 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/12/2026, 4:10:58 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x005784f7A9D9f696bd171322B15fB05653942fD8
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
4 transactions
102.27 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/12/2026, 4:10:58 A.M.
From: 0x000cDD7d2F6Ef30215B7f8A8d7c409AdF3935b86
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0042007cfedc8af259393000c92f0aac9e92a839ae6e17b5f50b64a838be8c15
423.42 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/12/2026, 4:10:58 A.M.
From: 0x005784f7A9D9f696bd171322B15fB05653942fD8
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0072004b538d68ccf5e948d8f3328300e459e695b55e7c8c4e2dad0629d49c19
201.32 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/12/2026, 4:10:58 A.M.
From: 0x0019F9b43cb6f2Ff7b0fFC61C0F0976b3ca1D23e
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x000200776710193a2055e8e1ceeb4d3411355ac042fc8fc1dd5af9a2be983afe
49.4 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/12/2026, 4:10:30 A.M.
From: 0x004b0015A5a719765d2CeBF08dE8cfb965593F17
To: 0x000C7d44853CFA0eDe38668f814fdbc2354793cC
Tx: 0x0023000a5c82bfccc1449259e3946674309469c6c48b53239dd1cf81389e5825