Spike bucket
08/12/2026, 3:53:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/12/2026, 3:53:00 A.M. to 08/12/2026, 3:54:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 5,206.88
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Explained QI: 470.02
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 96% of explained volume
Relative context
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
Visible rows account for most of the bucket with a clear leading transfer.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
1
Observable rows
5
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
15
Asset volume
0 QUAI
470.02 QI
Avg confidence
80.0%
Dominant source: etx-type
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0004e31f55d13e714cE808D20608a8545344D19F.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + high confidence + 0 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 63
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0004e31f55d13e714cE808D20608a8545344D19F.
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 -> 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 (3 repeated flows).
Confidence context: high • Source context: etx-type
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence high • Source etx-type
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 08/12/2026, 3:53:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: etx-type • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
5,206.88 QUAI across 2 visible rows
Known watch context
0x0004e31f55d13e714cE808D20608a8545344D19F
Net sender
Unknown type
4,999.52 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
Net sender
Unknown type
470.03 QI across 3 visible rows
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Net receiver
Unknown type
470.03 QI across 3 visible rows
0x005784f7A9D9f696bd171322B15fB05653942fD8
Net sender
Unknown type
207.36 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 → 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
3 repeated flows • 470.02 QI
Type concentration
To exchange: 5,206.88 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
1 tx
0 QUAI • 15 addresses
08/12/2026, 3:53:01 A.M.
-1 min
2 tx
0 QUAI • 15 addresses
08/12/2026, 3:51:51 A.M.
+1 min
6 tx
5,206.88 QUAI • 18 addresses
08/12/2026, 3:54:12 A.M.
-2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 5 addresses
08/12/2026, 3:50:38 A.M.
+2 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
08/12/2026, 3:55:23 A.M.
-4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
08/12/2026, 3:49:28 A.M.
+4 min
3 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
08/12/2026, 3:56:33 A.M.
-5 min
Best candidate3 tx
5,474.67 QUAI • 16 addresses
08/12/2026, 3:48:18 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
4,999.52 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceWhale to whale
Cyprus-1
08/12/2026, 3:53:19 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0004e31f55d13e714cE808D20608a8545344D19F
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
5 transactions
155.07 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/12/2026, 3:53:55 A.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x0047002b6c217e6f4460b68baab0a811e87e8f921b6d136cf5562c26eb3f4add
155.07 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/12/2026, 3:53:55 A.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x002e00408ddaf2f1ce73142bbff5438608907c13878dec81370f5b8730f1753c
4,999.52 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceWhale to whale
Cyprus-1
08/12/2026, 3:53:19 A.M.
From: 0x0004e31f55d13e714cE808D20608a8545344D19F
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x002000570fd8c448d1605821fb96ab9e808670069c3acbd00310fbead5c644cd
207.36 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/12/2026, 3:53:19 A.M.
From: 0x005784f7A9D9f696bd171322B15fB05653942fD8
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0054002c5cf4957cc4fe9a8533af81e4691067d3bef873137885af4f766329c7
159.87 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/12/2026, 3:53:01 A.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x004700502aab6d6e82a3ed281172b5a5069793a27d508c170c4e38665b0096e4