Spike bucket
08/12/2026, 3:23:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/12/2026, 3:23:00 A.M. to 08/12/2026, 3:24:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 23.69
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 42% of explained volume
Relative context
0.0x above local average
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
4
Observable rows
5
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
17
Asset volume
13.69 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x00433Bf377999500745EF4336CE451f2b4dCD744 • 0x003D2640393d6d2422c3B00849b8b539BB8D1688.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 14 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x00433Bf377999500745EF4336CE451f2b4dCD744 • 0x003D2640393d6d2422c3B00849b8b539BB8D1688.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 08/12/2026, 3:23:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x00433Bf377999500745EF4336CE451f2b4dCD744
Net sender
Unknown type
11 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x003D2640393d6d2422c3B00849b8b539BB8D1688
Net sender
Unknown type
10 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0010E47282a0746CDcaC43e1a39c3Dca0c96fCb4
Net receiver
Unknown type
10 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x006dc70431416e4395E2C098D50108b093672B93
Net receiver
Unknown type
10 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00787d7742336F109f0e07b26E7E8d47b462Ac4b
Net sender
Unknown type
2.58 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
-1 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 9 addresses
08/12/2026, 3:22:24 A.M.
+1 min
4 tx
13.69 QUAI • 17 addresses
08/12/2026, 3:23:35 A.M.
-2 min
2 tx
0 QUAI • 15 addresses
08/12/2026, 3:21:14 A.M.
+2 min
1 tx
10 QUAI • 10 addresses
08/12/2026, 3:24:45 A.M.
-3 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
08/12/2026, 3:20:04 A.M.
+3 min
Best candidate6 tx
1,254.51 QUAI • 20 addresses
08/12/2026, 3:25:55 A.M.
-4 min
5 tx
1,183.18 QUAI • 15 addresses
08/12/2026, 3:18:52 A.M.
+4 min
3 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
08/12/2026, 3:27:06 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
10 QUAI
Derived whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/12/2026, 3:23:42 A.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x003D2640393d6d2422c3B00849b8b539BB8D1688
To: 0x0010E47282a0746CDcaC43e1a39c3Dca0c96fCb4
All transfers in this selected minute
5 transactions
10 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/12/2026, 3:23:42 A.M.
From: 0x003D2640393d6d2422c3B00849b8b539BB8D1688
To: 0x0010E47282a0746CDcaC43e1a39c3Dca0c96fCb4
Tx: 0x00550012cb57553431aa7bd947b818b9715c5de2e7af4ec08eaa3bda275bc574
2.58 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/12/2026, 3:23:30 A.M.
From: 0x00787d7742336F109f0e07b26E7E8d47b462Ac4b
To: 0x00703a67D567B86840785b64A7555Aa2Ef7d36c1
Tx: 0x002f006865e575609b5bcbf4c000e9493a46d914cbf1f4f89cd8d5b95b66f05e
0.11 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/12/2026, 3:23:30 A.M.
From: 0x003AE0669b8e8Feda923baB03a6f3489c16483d2
To: 0x0015ed80517e9961235ec22dAFb00020C2e970b2
Tx: 0x0002005ae462a7b5d5af194865dfcbef5d012c4ae971657be673cc3141e8daf0
1 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/12/2026, 3:23:30 A.M.
From: 0x00433Bf377999500745EF4336CE451f2b4dCD744
To: 0x0068E375661e39ca8A4cE40cF43004767F4Cef78
Tx: 0x001c0058f474e07b272eccdb87fb30615480fde3b8a69157187b1f264ec39012
10 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/12/2026, 3:23:30 A.M.
From: 0x00433Bf377999500745EF4336CE451f2b4dCD744
To: 0x006dc70431416e4395E2C098D50108b093672B93
Tx: 0x005c00714b0df0f2ae47546a179ca81ca140195c58f08960308cb1fd6365aaba