Spike bucket
08/12/2026, 3:17:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/12/2026, 3:17:00 A.M. to 08/12/2026, 3:18:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
medium confidence
77% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 5,522.33
Unexplained QUAI: 1,636.09
Explained QI: 313.76
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 54% of explained volume
Relative context
4.8x above local average
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by multiple visible transfers.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
9
Observable rows
8
88.9% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
23
Asset volume
7,158.42 QUAI
313.76 QI
Avg confidence
69.5%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519 • 0x005eDfb27496C16975832A0D24f1C97f719f9Eef.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + medium confidence + 7158 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519 • 0x005eDfb27496C16975832A0D24f1C97f719f9Eef.
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 -> 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 (2 repeated flows).
Confidence context: medium • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 8 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence medium • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no major confidence limiter detected in current sample
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Partial source coverage
Last updated: 08/12/2026, 3:17:00 A.M.
Coverage gap moderate (23% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 8 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Net receiver
Unknown type
5,522.33 QUAI across 6 visible rows
0x005eDfb27496C16975832A0D24f1C97f719f9Eef
Net sender
Unknown type
2,984.95 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00624D02961633798A1a9cFa7c0b2210Fa6053fB
Net sender
Unknown type
968.46 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x005bE0CA2f8Ee1554C9BC3332EfF511C01a5Fc02
Net sender
Unknown type
734.66 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0060bA5516E993449827998B966326d53DF3BA4D
Net sender
Unknown type
448.52 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 → 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
2 repeated flows • 313.76 QI
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
2 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
08/12/2026, 3:16:31 A.M.
+1 min
Best candidate9 tx
7,158.42 QUAI • 23 addresses
08/12/2026, 3:17:41 A.M.
-2 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
08/12/2026, 3:15:20 A.M.
+2 min
5 tx
1,183.18 QUAI • 15 addresses
08/12/2026, 3:18:52 A.M.
-3 min
5 tx
3,549.15 QUAI • 19 addresses
08/12/2026, 3:14:09 A.M.
+3 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
08/12/2026, 3:20:04 A.M.
-4 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
08/12/2026, 3:12:58 A.M.
+4 min
2 tx
0 QUAI • 15 addresses
08/12/2026, 3:21:14 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
2,984.95 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/12/2026, 3:17:37 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x005eDfb27496C16975832A0D24f1C97f719f9Eef
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
All transfers in this selected minute
8 transactions
734.66 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/12/2026, 3:17:54 A.M.
From: 0x005bE0CA2f8Ee1554C9BC3332EfF511C01a5Fc02
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x0032001f6f826530dacc19a2a8810895ea18192bbe42039d9042abdf2c330bfd
448.52 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/12/2026, 3:17:54 A.M.
From: 0x0060bA5516E993449827998B966326d53DF3BA4D
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x000c0013284d9dbe23c743d9afda8fc6fca0ee1fdd227cc3065ebb492ce23805
156.88 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/12/2026, 3:17:45 A.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x007f004b59a8a06b9d71f2673ed3ecd9c6dfe436e9821ba73289381411cc94f9
156.88 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/12/2026, 3:17:45 A.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x00690074065b94c2311007065987bb4c3efd9cb815a8641e8dc71e6cfe8fb945
251.76 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/12/2026, 3:17:37 A.M.
From: 0x006d1b468555E32cc3299406451d0393631aE482
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x007900710d80fa576eaae5878f412d8b791bc661b9f891b95ad4659dfca8dbea
133.97 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/12/2026, 3:17:37 A.M.
From: 0x0051f76a4F4c62452cd811A54153fE7df762425b
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x00270072f41e8629a81d4554ac03405661a04191948331ad7aee27c59ae2846d
2,984.95 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/12/2026, 3:17:37 A.M.
From: 0x005eDfb27496C16975832A0D24f1C97f719f9Eef
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x00540076be39fc37235fa3d09ad06fdb91241ed426b7b12c74193b7327e4cf26
968.46 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/12/2026, 3:17:37 A.M.
From: 0x00624D02961633798A1a9cFa7c0b2210Fa6053fB
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x000c0072466d6b98c318af3877a02227cfd7b53158ef2456df81003f5210ccc7
