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Spike bucket

08/12/2026, 2:52:00 A.M.

Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.

Window: 08/12/2026, 2:52:00 A.M. to 08/12/2026, 2:53:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
medium confidence
100% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 41,004.86
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Explained QI: 470.93
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 49% of explained volume
Relative context
1.2x above local average
0.5x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by multiple visible transfers.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
10
Observable rows
9
90.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
19
Asset volume
25,185.05 QUAI
470.93 QI
Avg confidence
72.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default

Event intelligence

high priority
What happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0011d16c5f4801D8d7B2eD4A84fC98D114Cb85b8 • 0x002a08a5738c760Cca57A4b3F28Da7257982Ca49.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + medium confidence + 25185 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 50
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0011d16c5f4801D8d7B2eD4A84fC98D114Cb85b8 • 0x002a08a5738c760Cca57A4b3F28Da7257982Ca49.
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 -> 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 (3 repeated flows).
Confidence context: medium • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 9 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence medium • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no major confidence limiter detected in current sample
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 08/12/2026, 2:52:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 9 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
  • Confirm behavior (distribution).
  • Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
  • Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.

Top actors in this event

0x0011d16c5f4801D8d7B2eD4A84fC98D114Cb85b8
Net sender
Unknown type
19,999.07 QUAI across 1 visible row
Actor intelligenceWallet profile
0x002a08a5738c760Cca57A4b3F28Da7257982Ca49
Net receiver
Unknown type
19,999.07 QUAI across 1 visible row
Actor intelligenceWallet profile
Gate.io hot wallet
Net sender
Exchange
18,137.78 QUAI across 1 visible row
Known watch context
Actor intelligenceWallet profile
0x002253613c1003545eB72768262705BdA71F3188
Net receiver
Unknown type
18,137.78 QUAI across 1 visible row
Actor intelligenceWallet profile
0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
Net sender
Unknown type
1,434.37 QUAI across 2 visible rows
Actor intelligenceWallet profile

Relationship intelligence

Repeated flow pairs
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 → 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
3 repeated flows • 470.93 QI
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 18,137.78 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Alert contextSignal feed

Evidence checks

Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
  • Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
  • Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
  • Review latest signal or spike before changing status.

Autonomous outcome

Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigations

Inspect nearby minutes

Jump around the selected bucket quickly when the exact minute is sparse, delayed, or mostly aggregated.

-15 min-5 min-1 min+1 min+5 min+15 minRaw alerts API
9 observable transfers were found for this minute, but the bucket total is 10. The remaining 1 entries are chain transactions that were not stored as displayable transfer rows in the current dataset, typically because they are non-value, self, contract/system, or otherwise non-observable transfer activity.

Nearby active minutes

Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
8 tx
3,858.91 QUAI • 20 addresses
08/12/2026, 2:51:34 A.M.
+1 min
10 tx
25,185.05 QUAI • 19 addresses
08/12/2026, 2:52:45 A.M.
-2 min
39 tx
52,904.83 QUAI • 52 addresses
08/12/2026, 2:50:21 A.M.
+2 min
Best candidate13 tx
59,987.34 QUAI • 24 addresses
08/12/2026, 2:53:56 A.M.
-3 min
7 tx
8,252.05 QUAI • 19 addresses
08/12/2026, 2:49:09 A.M.
+3 min
11 tx
3,985.65 QUAI • 19 addresses
08/12/2026, 2:55:07 A.M.
-4 min
21 tx
10,882.16 QUAI • 32 addresses
08/12/2026, 2:47:58 A.M.
+4 min
9 tx
4,498.67 QUAI • 16 addresses
08/12/2026, 2:56:17 A.M.

Biggest whale alert

19,999.07 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/12/2026, 2:52:32 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0011d16c5f4801D8d7B2eD4A84fC98D114Cb85b8
To: 0x002a08a5738c760Cca57A4b3F28Da7257982Ca49
Open tx

All transfers in this selected minute

9 transactions
155.46 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/12/2026, 2:52:49 A.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x0039002c71d7cccb84d199f2321923fcc2782498fc1a143ec24e15c935f0be20
Open txWallet profile
155.46 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/12/2026, 2:52:49 A.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x00720011bd4df50bb8df2fbf847574f4605f1802f8d5520069457e31a19d8ea3
Open txWallet profile
464.75 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/12/2026, 2:52:45 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x00631D43f340A0EC5F247627756fc1288f05Cc1E
Tx: 0x0011000159ce3708d2e1ef07e36ccd43949a238f914b2ab8461f2b3de3cf90fa
Open tx
995.22 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/12/2026, 2:52:45 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x005687Ce20EFAFc5e053E5a33efAC2b1209264d4
Tx: 0x0011007e83243e70787f48ce1fb12020100879f111ddb77e0425f2fbf0a07465
Open tx
18,137.78 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/12/2026, 2:52:45 A.M.
From: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
To: 0x002253613c1003545eB72768262705BdA71F3188
Tx: 0x0028002f58121419c7573ca0510d9db6d35c823ec9472218455e75fa868b1c3e
Open txWallet profile
438.43 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/12/2026, 2:52:32 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x00566d3A7733Bca76aa6A7A4648406DcCe35d7D1
Tx: 0x007c00317d70300b7cf10146c1d3ade9a227a0b25ff00ce93b646240bb39a124
Open tx
969.62 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/12/2026, 2:52:32 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x00624D02961633798A1a9cFa7c0b2210Fa6053fB
Tx: 0x001f0039311d4510f06190884a3f8542c9d3adf842df266e429bcf250437b2cc
Open tx
19,999.07 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/12/2026, 2:52:32 A.M.
From: 0x0011d16c5f4801D8d7B2eD4A84fC98D114Cb85b8
To: 0x002a08a5738c760Cca57A4b3F28Da7257982Ca49
Tx: 0x003800556dab79c385778f2145d6f4c5d441047770f235442ed5d9088cfda2a6
Open tx
160 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/12/2026, 2:52:17 A.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x004f004faceb58b1ef219a1a54575913aa4ccfa3f861831625622e41e8ed4dbf
Open txWallet profile