Spike bucket
08/12/2026, 2:31:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/12/2026, 2:31:00 A.M. to 08/12/2026, 2:32:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 37,740.3
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 48% of explained volume
Relative context
1.3x above local average
2.5x previous minute
0.5x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
7
Observable rows
8
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
18
Asset volume
19,470.3 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x002253613c1003545eB72768262705BdA71F3188 • 0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 19470 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x002253613c1003545eB72768262705BdA71F3188 • 0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 8 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 08/12/2026, 2:31:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 8 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x002253613c1003545eB72768262705BdA71F3188
Balanced
Unknown type
36,548.64 QUAI across 2 visible rows
Gate.io hot wallet
Net sender
Exchange
18,278.64 QUAI across 1 visible row
Known watch context
0x006C3e2AaAE5DB1bCd11A1a097cE572312EADdBB
Net receiver
Unknown type
18,270 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
Net sender
Unknown type
612.58 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
Net sender
Unknown type
468.49 QUAI across 2 visible rows
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 18,278.64 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
7 tx
19,470.3 QUAI • 18 addresses
08/12/2026, 2:31:21 A.M.
-1 min
18 tx
7,836.08 QUAI • 25 addresses
08/12/2026, 2:30:10 A.M.
-2 min
13 tx
9,357.02 QUAI • 22 addresses
08/12/2026, 2:28:59 A.M.
+2 min
Best candidate19 tx
36,664.07 QUAI • 29 addresses
08/12/2026, 2:32:32 A.M.
-3 min
19 tx
14,526.12 QUAI • 27 addresses
08/12/2026, 2:27:49 A.M.
+3 min
16 tx
18,802.49 QUAI • 26 addresses
08/12/2026, 2:33:43 A.M.
-4 min
13 tx
7,088.56 QUAI • 24 addresses
08/12/2026, 2:26:38 A.M.
+4 min
15 tx
4,741.82 QUAI • 27 addresses
08/12/2026, 2:34:55 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
18,278.64 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/12/2026, 2:31:11 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
To: 0x002253613c1003545eB72768262705BdA71F3188
All transfers in this selected minute
8 transactions
18,270 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/12/2026, 2:31:47 A.M.
From: 0x002253613c1003545eB72768262705BdA71F3188
To: 0x006C3e2AaAE5DB1bCd11A1a097cE572312EADdBB
Tx: 0x006e0078ee8c87bb010e23d8ecf2544031c393050b40b00502808fd853466ba3
59.34 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/12/2026, 2:31:16 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x0040EDcF696F9e0248b62444343dd1C872e151f1
Tx: 0x0076001d0f70cd2e0dabfd5c9b17f3cd858da58d5c7e330e20a4f02a9ba9313b
355.61 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/12/2026, 2:31:16 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x00359ffb3E778925D8cC2ffE90F7390D8230e260
Tx: 0x00790028b90d67529ef0f6191220b1048e4aebc6d25c9b00b8e7c3d3772816e4
106.03 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/12/2026, 2:31:16 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x00330a88937e3f10C72060f12f6f2ad068e23cAc
Tx: 0x007f0060a06eef95bdd54b3af9f99b6d59a26c2b948d47fc95dbc003cabaff4d
256.97 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/12/2026, 2:31:11 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x0034c9818589329b7742f70e91ad5D9149417DE4
Tx: 0x0060005ac659f91073367e94f5b67d5e166fb822c624d2c3395810f7d3b05db2
362.46 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceWhale to whale
Cyprus-1
08/12/2026, 2:31:11 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x0032eA9aDB717D77F224f20d292A7e76E4df3E71
Tx: 0x005900074eecf8d4cd3170b172b961417132e882b3aecdaff5e9f7f3bc94cc7c
51.25 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/12/2026, 2:31:11 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x003c8643862cB6D7555ce0e0059B06DcEA35A1EE
Tx: 0x003c0017544a412479a7a1ee5f2374d7187b911a7ee4d67ecc36ec5c99e048be
18,278.64 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/12/2026, 2:31:11 A.M.
From: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
To: 0x002253613c1003545eB72768262705BdA71F3188
Tx: 0x001d00271140a928caff8b2f8185b8785be2b16065921f502c7dd7843d6b4333