Spike bucket
08/12/2026, 2:24:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/12/2026, 2:24:00 A.M. to 08/12/2026, 2:25:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
36% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 6,557.94
Unexplained QUAI: 11,914.25
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 90% of explained volume
Relative context
2.9x above local average
3.6x previous minute
21x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
27
Observable rows
4
14.8% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
38
Asset volume
18,472.18 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752 • 0x002378Ed986d936D488B5DD92517Dc3F4966E07F.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + low confidence + 18472 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752 • 0x002378Ed986d936D488B5DD92517Dc3F4966E07F.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 08/12/2026, 2:24:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (64% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (36%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
Net sender
Unknown type
5,875.03 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002378Ed986d936D488B5DD92517Dc3F4966E07F
Net receiver
Unknown type
5,875.03 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
Net sender
Unknown type
301.87 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0026310f1963Bf08EaD7028ad5A4533AC987A38B
Net receiver
Unknown type
301.87 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x006170040dc9fEB7E13De687029cf833670027d6
Net sender
Unknown type
230.54 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
Best candidate27 tx
18,472.18 QUAI • 38 addresses
08/12/2026, 2:24:14 A.M.
-1 min
6 tx
5,178.73 QUAI • 18 addresses
08/12/2026, 2:23:03 A.M.
+1 min
5 tx
888.13 QUAI • 18 addresses
08/12/2026, 2:25:26 A.M.
-2 min
3 tx
597.12 QUAI • 13 addresses
08/12/2026, 2:21:52 A.M.
-3 min
11 tx
2,200.62 QUAI • 27 addresses
08/12/2026, 2:20:40 A.M.
+3 min
13 tx
7,088.56 QUAI • 24 addresses
08/12/2026, 2:26:38 A.M.
-4 min
6 tx
1,209.45 QUAI • 14 addresses
08/12/2026, 2:19:30 A.M.
+4 min
19 tx
14,526.12 QUAI • 27 addresses
08/12/2026, 2:27:49 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
5,875.03 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/12/2026, 2:24:11 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x002378Ed986d936D488B5DD92517Dc3F4966E07F
All transfers in this selected minute
4 transactions
301.87 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/12/2026, 2:24:11 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x0026310f1963Bf08EaD7028ad5A4533AC987A38B
Tx: 0x006f000bdf56b0b12a9fe8d18577f922dc4567b26e042404605c261086362d8e
150.5 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/12/2026, 2:24:11 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x0021B171e383D2fE95dF2642Fc4B3d707b9540e1
Tx: 0x005a001a7021660d9c85418ad4cf8cc57f48ce90b78928162e74540807140a3a
5,875.03 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/12/2026, 2:24:11 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x002378Ed986d936D488B5DD92517Dc3F4966E07F
Tx: 0x0005007957c0786df44329e9472de5544a36907cdbe02c5d6be6a5ad8a34f406
230.54 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/12/2026, 2:24:11 A.M.
From: 0x006170040dc9fEB7E13De687029cf833670027d6
To: 0x0028C5534d930C7dc406cA080c6AcAa4a93a1BF6
Tx: 0x002b001a651aca4844d2c6cd37b49e5d1f7d5bb2defb38a51ff8f5cc9ce06b7f