Spike bucket
08/12/2026, 2:18:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/12/2026, 2:18:00 A.M. to 08/12/2026, 2:19:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
70% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 2,285.24
Unexplained QUAI: 976.2
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 24% of explained volume
Relative context
0.2x above local average
0.1x previous minute
2.7x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by distributed visible activity.
The visible flow is broad and internally consistent.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
6
Observable rows
9
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
15
Asset volume
3,261.44 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F • 0x0015D7708aB67E1a895AD5b303FFEEd37CbA8428.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + high confidence + 3261 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F • 0x0015D7708aB67E1a895AD5b303FFEEd37CbA8428.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 9 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Partial source coverage
Last updated: 08/12/2026, 2:18:00 A.M.
Coverage gap moderate (30% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 9 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
Net sender
Unknown type
1,056.66 QUAI across 3 visible rows
0x0015D7708aB67E1a895AD5b303FFEEd37CbA8428
Net receiver
Unknown type
931.08 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
Net sender
Unknown type
844.26 QUAI across 3 visible rows
0x0015358387Ed8c850012a58515fe5D0d5603d58e
Net receiver
Unknown type
411.8 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
Net sender
Unknown type
384.32 QUAI across 3 visible rows
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
6 tx
3,261.44 QUAI • 15 addresses
08/12/2026, 2:18:19 A.M.
-1 min
Best candidate13 tx
43,563.87 QUAI • 25 addresses
08/12/2026, 2:17:09 A.M.
-2 min
7 tx
40,282.52 QUAI • 25 addresses
08/12/2026, 2:15:58 A.M.
+2 min
6 tx
1,209.45 QUAI • 14 addresses
08/12/2026, 2:19:30 A.M.
-3 min
17 tx
9,113.9 QUAI • 28 addresses
08/12/2026, 2:14:45 A.M.
+3 min
11 tx
2,200.62 QUAI • 27 addresses
08/12/2026, 2:20:40 A.M.
-4 min
9 tx
8,930.28 QUAI • 19 addresses
08/12/2026, 2:13:34 A.M.
+4 min
3 tx
597.12 QUAI • 13 addresses
08/12/2026, 2:21:52 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
550.57 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/12/2026, 2:18:07 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x0015D7708aB67E1a895AD5b303FFEEd37CbA8428
All transfers in this selected minute
9 transactions
94.85 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/12/2026, 2:18:54 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x001884e81aA3E9B4d39C3b0f60Fe4AdA3E18Fb2f
Tx: 0x0005003220baeb830661199f65f833a9dae6e09cca854811a994da1b0ebcf949
380.5 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceWhale to whale
Cyprus-1
08/12/2026, 2:18:54 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x0015D7708aB67E1a895AD5b303FFEEd37CbA8428
Tx: 0x0067002f878c97ffe0d569c751626bd1414ae458f723dbd30608861d5c94310c
78.12 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/12/2026, 2:18:54 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x001D178A66d7EbC378401ea4a3d37B0ec6AC4CEf
Tx: 0x0059005d713053b657a0673603c9c3976d12d20efe80cafb0a78a2c008ee9a70
198.84 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/12/2026, 2:18:34 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x0015Eaa741Ba5CCd5D99D1D0c26d16D02fDd9054
Tx: 0x0015005dccde444841c328ea64e5a1c7c14994a63afcff80e412d33393da7b2a
192.79 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/12/2026, 2:18:34 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x001959127B1297f6bE9BD34a157Bb060aC7964D2
Tx: 0x0071004198e0192e144d9e169a745571102d1e65607f98f56d33e36cee5a1a24
264.35 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/12/2026, 2:18:34 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x0015C375eB72991eF63d9095d84FfC5BAEab439C
Tx: 0x003c003123fc0e9314c6c6df0356c68a80041135e3eb41bf49e18af2ac2be49b
113.41 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/12/2026, 2:18:07 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x001924cAcB60D0C877e8C4C13b7D80253A0a93d0
Tx: 0x00350065b753f63a45e97629c871f44765ba987d844f4617597fe199e551ced3
550.57 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/12/2026, 2:18:07 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x0015D7708aB67E1a895AD5b303FFEEd37CbA8428
Tx: 0x005300766af7874f84b6fd29016d95fa7a3443834c8839a264eaa8ecdc15042d
411.8 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/12/2026, 2:18:07 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x0015358387Ed8c850012a58515fe5D0d5603d58e
Tx: 0x0059001ec409d78aa812c773ad9c9e41317396b9359d5029a9f81c56281ec97a