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Spike bucket

08/12/2026, 2:14:00 A.M.

Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.

Window: 08/12/2026, 2:14:00 A.M. to 08/12/2026, 2:15:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
26% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 2,400.52
Unexplained QUAI: 6,713.39
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 50% of explained volume
Relative context
0.6x above local average
1.1x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by multiple visible transfers.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
17
Observable rows
7
41.2% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
28
Asset volume
9,113.9 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default

Event intelligence

medium priority
What happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752 • 0x000d68124bC98629019B4f2e533F2Dc03575edc1.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + low confidence + 9114 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 37
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752 • 0x000d68124bC98629019B4f2e533F2Dc03575edc1.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidenceSource coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 7 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context windowThin source coverage
Last updated: 08/12/2026, 2:14:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (74% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 7 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (26%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
  • Confirm behavior (distribution).
  • Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
  • Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.

Top actors in this event

0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
Net sender
Unknown type
1,498.41 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x000d68124bC98629019B4f2e533F2Dc03575edc1
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,211.65 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
Net sender
Unknown type
563.86 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x000f199409379202d1F55Ca5ce1442D80c698156
Net receiver
Unknown type
368.46 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
Net sender
Unknown type
338.13 QUAI across 2 visible rows

Relationship intelligence

Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI

Evidence checks

Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
  • Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
  • Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
  • Review latest signal or spike before changing status.

Autonomous outcome

Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigations

Inspect nearby minutes

Jump around the selected bucket quickly when the exact minute is sparse, delayed, or mostly aggregated.

7 observable transfers were found for this minute, but the bucket total is 17. The remaining 10 entries are chain transactions that were not stored as displayable transfer rows in the current dataset, typically because they are non-value, self, contract/system, or otherwise non-observable transfer activity.

Biggest whale alert

1,211.65 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/12/2026, 2:14:47 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x000d68124bC98629019B4f2e533F2Dc03575edc1

All transfers in this selected minute

7 transactions
368.46 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/12/2026, 2:14:47 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x000f199409379202d1F55Ca5ce1442D80c698156
Tx: 0x0029005ea6ea40fbb683400a241245278031464b12fdeeac25471765dded0b17
Open txWallet profile
83.18 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/12/2026, 2:14:47 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x000f793D7F6E29b46c41843417F56125F0c1c6be
Tx: 0x0020001780d79535ebf58bfd68988d020019e587fd1ba267628d1fdeeb664b13
1,211.65 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/12/2026, 2:14:47 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x000d68124bC98629019B4f2e533F2Dc03575edc1
Tx: 0x003f002acce521f9258423a88a24016ce37aedd57d9bcf4f01811eb449086af6
254.95 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/12/2026, 2:14:26 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x000e2061eF8C12D563Af9546f83a752619bB4A1f
Tx: 0x001200570be5545038df89dbbe9996f3920cac5b4c85a2cf95cd5de08df03cf5
286.76 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/12/2026, 2:14:26 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x000C98f8B3680A25CdBD4F5d0aF59b9fd0b83026
Tx: 0x007d002083988669777b933c0930816055513a0dbf787796d84ca28ced6b30dc
195.41 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/12/2026, 2:14:26 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x000e8704A804059C06b693799e1b8cee7DA78161
Tx: 0x0025007073f2c4409921685d9fb694b73f71584b53d6700a5b5aeb27847b7afd
Open txWallet profile
0.11 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/12/2026, 2:14:26 A.M.
From: 0x003AE0669b8e8Feda923baB03a6f3489c16483d2
To: 0x0015ed80517e9961235ec22dAFb00020C2e970b2
Tx: 0x0018001bbdbcba00a603b9ecc9f8e240556be6160f9130bd97654bea999ab935