Spike bucket
08/12/2026, 2:11:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/12/2026, 2:11:00 A.M. to 08/12/2026, 2:12:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
medium confidence
97% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 3,334.05
Unexplained QUAI: 118.33
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 25% of explained volume
Relative context
0.9x above local average
31x previous minute
0.4x next minute
Interpretation
Visible rows explain most of the spike, with no single transfer dominating.
The spike appears distributed, but some of the bucket still remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
10
Observable rows
9
90.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
19
Asset volume
3,452.38 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
medium priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F • 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + medium confidence + 3452 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 35
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F • 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: medium • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 9 visible transfer rows
Confidence medium • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 08/12/2026, 2:11:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 9 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
Net sender
Unknown type
1,385.57 QUAI across 3 visible rows
0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
Net sender
Unknown type
1,335.67 QUAI across 3 visible rows
0x0004542AbBA3EEeBbB102C400a579fBa2FB425eD
Net receiver
Unknown type
822.28 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00039b46520d6239037f7Eef3ba9F55b3DD14647
Net receiver
Unknown type
741.42 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
Net sender
Unknown type
612.8 QUAI across 3 visible rows
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
10 tx
3,452.38 QUAI • 19 addresses
08/12/2026, 2:11:12 A.M.
-1 min
2 tx
110.34 QUAI • 15 addresses
08/12/2026, 2:10:02 A.M.
+1 min
13 tx
8,365.7 QUAI • 25 addresses
08/12/2026, 2:12:23 A.M.
-2 min
2 tx
86.8 QUAI • 15 addresses
08/12/2026, 2:08:51 A.M.
-3 min
9 tx
254.27 QUAI • 24 addresses
08/12/2026, 2:07:41 A.M.
+3 min
9 tx
8,930.28 QUAI • 19 addresses
08/12/2026, 2:13:34 A.M.
-4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
08/12/2026, 2:06:31 A.M.
+4 min
Best candidate17 tx
9,113.9 QUAI • 28 addresses
08/12/2026, 2:14:45 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
822.28 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/12/2026, 2:11:21 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x0004542AbBA3EEeBbB102C400a579fBa2FB425eD
All transfers in this selected minute
9 transactions
124.88 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/12/2026, 2:11:35 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x00054a786531c76C6FEE8ea225EEA43aEc70643c
Tx: 0x000200427f38d6e9dcb54e67cf138104828d28d2cac6c55829033e2af630db6f
312.35 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/12/2026, 2:11:35 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x0008CE4fAfC03955D640E98f9ad27DF0eBf43331
Tx: 0x00090029b5757d2f97141e9f82b4ac324afd5c9d4a844a0963d19f8e627de123
210 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/12/2026, 2:11:35 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x00049a00891BDcD33305a535A34051F1aCcE5b10
Tx: 0x0071003b4121b711d4eb1951f52b939dc1b5ffab353ef9c44e1126232f5fec52
178.16 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/12/2026, 2:11:23 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x00082Dda7A19f1c4e423A4F6ceC2405965f3da88
Tx: 0x0017006ef9c7eaf71ddc6388856bf9e030dc4d19fee03ed7375988bacaf4930e
388.52 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/12/2026, 2:11:23 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x00049a00891BDcD33305a535A34051F1aCcE5b10
Tx: 0x001c004455304747cbdcb8ad65f0e736937b1a4f81fb5d5a83502c0008b0a535
434.15 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/12/2026, 2:11:23 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x00048382ed2c81d02e19FF5bCd040A10FF8f5963
Tx: 0x004f006a382436cc313d6398cac178714060fdff6159d68379e1edd88ca33551
741.42 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/12/2026, 2:11:21 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x00039b46520d6239037f7Eef3ba9F55b3DD14647
Tx: 0x0047004b4359172f33b17be85e292cb0220dbbc4181aaf745bc054ed3906e08c
822.28 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/12/2026, 2:11:21 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x0004542AbBA3EEeBbB102C400a579fBa2FB425eD
Tx: 0x005d006fe64c796375e6edb2afafd32655eeb9cbf5740455d6d5a96804b5986b
122.3 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/12/2026, 2:11:21 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x00082b7Bd35B16676299594fdfd3B585aAEE0d41
Tx: 0x000d005557d56e9d623c06d1a0702a511a384d3b9b3a6ba33f60387c92e10935
