Spike bucket
08/12/2026, 2:04:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/12/2026, 2:04:00 A.M. to 08/12/2026, 2:05:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
medium confidence
100% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 66,441.29
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 68% of explained volume
Relative context
3.2x above local average
2.9x previous minute
0.9x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by multiple visible transfers.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
53
Observable rows
19
35.8% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
70
Asset volume
58,673.6 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x002253613c1003545eB72768262705BdA71F3188 • 0x006C3e2AaAE5DB1bCd11A1a097cE572312EADdBB.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + medium confidence + 58674 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 50
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x002253613c1003545eB72768262705BdA71F3188 • 0x006C3e2AaAE5DB1bCd11A1a097cE572312EADdBB.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: medium • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 19 visible transfer rows
Confidence medium • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 08/12/2026, 2:04:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 19 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x002253613c1003545eB72768262705BdA71F3188
Net sender
Unknown type
45,220 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x006C3e2AaAE5DB1bCd11A1a097cE572312EADdBB
Net receiver
Unknown type
45,220 QUAI across 1 visible row
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
20,516.18 QUAI across 5 visible rows
Known watch context
0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
Net sender
Unknown type
19,998.58 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
Net sender
Unknown type
705.11 QUAI across 13 visible rows
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 20,516.18 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
53 tx
58,673.6 QUAI • 70 addresses
08/12/2026, 2:04:07 A.M.
-1 min
2 tx
20,499.06 QUAI • 17 addresses
08/12/2026, 2:02:57 A.M.
+1 min
Best candidate19 tx
66,441.29 QUAI • 32 addresses
08/12/2026, 2:05:20 A.M.
-2 min
50 tx
1,815.77 QUAI • 58 addresses
08/12/2026, 2:01:46 A.M.
-3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
08/12/2026, 2:00:36 A.M.
+3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
08/12/2026, 2:06:31 A.M.
+4 min
9 tx
254.27 QUAI • 24 addresses
08/12/2026, 2:07:41 A.M.
-5 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 6 addresses
08/12/2026, 1:59:26 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
45,220 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/12/2026, 2:04:48 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x002253613c1003545eB72768262705BdA71F3188
To: 0x006C3e2AaAE5DB1bCd11A1a097cE572312EADdBB
All transfers in this selected minute
19 transactions
5.83 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/12/2026, 2:04:56 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0079d0F0104553d47f0DB40208a7a40f474e5e5A
Tx: 0x0060004d86a0fbda597d273ec648e8bd29b4a1e78c4fa195b2f48a14940fcfd2
5.51 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/12/2026, 2:04:56 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0008E77A0dD7DF694769928733B983D84426Ff02
Tx: 0x00700052b81db20ddead1ef68ca34198b93970b7481cd02e4d8530a885e1ce76
63.43 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/12/2026, 2:04:56 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x00581d5A0E2Ca3def6772D488e45e87614C906A9
Tx: 0x005e00008154af25169d64b03b58c163fbd43c2b606553b23e22c5097879e795
17.85 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/12/2026, 2:04:56 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x00042ebf5e2dabBb79A67343711A89B76c7D1c49
Tx: 0x005f004dc483e66e573979f9c321dad2fbcb17c2d94ceb6ca17de13874d25fd1
22.31 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/12/2026, 2:04:56 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x004d27296eA9C630Ae2ebb84071575Bf1fF919d6
Tx: 0x0038004d08f71c0c4121f8ec72e420aebf8d4fe3a0eb6a20057a09dd8478801b
20.01 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/12/2026, 2:04:56 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x00293B52b3891afa998163221A3D610Be0D5d99F
Tx: 0x002f0027732c7636df36af60611f2e31b883f56039385764f4c03a35a783c1f7
5.8 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/12/2026, 2:04:56 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0026556e1Be909a07f299A03f8e78181a1f5C654
Tx: 0x0019002a0bdc6a2fb648c59cfce62d99fc3cf4560025266c08c2ee0943a21216
196.38 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/12/2026, 2:04:56 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x001F0af9403592c11b9e07659dc2F740e3075C39
Tx: 0x006a0063f0152f55085be71e0f3b8af5421a7e94aa42dbb248ea18c79b9c9414
6.71 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/12/2026, 2:04:56 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x00734b901cF8B9d636C2E5cAAb3c38BC738AEb90
Tx: 0x00580037987e700f92702d4780c5794fa0537ed00a855e6a413fca9b9bc1fe7a
105.76 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/12/2026, 2:04:56 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0059521422C0F8fC0967393b225188483C655e15
Tx: 0x00240029c9b326aa2e99f7e4cec096969b43e56d349d43fd638eb94479961fb3
245.04 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/12/2026, 2:04:56 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0001ec798D9186b010De72732d4Cf04E594D9d52
Tx: 0x00120045730266812591d7e24f89a87c4cf2ce1c3526bf14e603b76037dfea66
4.55 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/12/2026, 2:04:56 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x003c82ECb4b9D3756F2cd7484713a5F4B0CA16bC
Tx: 0x003e0000ec91d6b6aad30bafe17429c6cec9482be3d68175fdc349e5a8d7bec5
5.95 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/12/2026, 2:04:56 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x00536c5c3BF90B1E899871208eC62D33250A841e
Tx: 0x003100223b8061439970c9983aaf7688bda5fda9c7785f503ef1af5efadb2ded
45,220 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/12/2026, 2:04:48 A.M.
From: 0x002253613c1003545eB72768262705BdA71F3188
To: 0x006C3e2AaAE5DB1bCd11A1a097cE572312EADdBB
Tx: 0x001900565f2387678a1c5f3b0f12de269a46ec2a7ed1496d920e7244182604ee
203.98 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/12/2026, 2:04:25 A.M.
From: 0x004D1D330eB95CFdec44062D314fb261C154C4A1
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00790065346fc98b7efc5765ac3d39e2e8d23c0de36f439898dd8fac767f53d3
100.82 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/12/2026, 2:04:25 A.M.
From: 0x00198eb2E8fE856C82A8B2537C1217370BD465a6
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x001a007ce6068625ae7acb662d37fb0df2cc717abe31cb3cccc0901931268052
100.33 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/12/2026, 2:04:25 A.M.
From: 0x0052Ec5b0c17f72a92c1B12F8276443D917D3900
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0037002311a3affbebc3cfe2b3c8b9ef15e8ff57152dd74f18dd52a10af9fac4
112.47 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/12/2026, 2:04:25 A.M.
From: 0x0045f0A51D2cFC3B573a7DCc2C14AD3C47C3f58e
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00640031413012b55432eddb7ba2b5c98c5eae475639e48e3ea1aad37586178e
19,998.58 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/12/2026, 2:04:25 A.M.
From: 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00780048945c2976e222388467b02cbe4f61a16b50eab35a4100e7995d1d0a8d
