Spike bucket
08/12/2026, 2:02:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/12/2026, 2:02:00 A.M. to 08/12/2026, 2:03:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 32,685.12
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 61% of explained volume
Relative context
1.0x above local average
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
2
Observable rows
4
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
17
Asset volume
20,499.06 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x004e7A848a2F6A878da5F2985D64f1F61198bD0b • 0x002a08a5738c760Cca57A4b3F28Da7257982Ca49.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 20499 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x004e7A848a2F6A878da5F2985D64f1F61198bD0b • 0x002a08a5738c760Cca57A4b3F28Da7257982Ca49.
0x001C0526c0E06D355eFfaDAe52952598852753ba -> 0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A (2 repeated flows).
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 08/12/2026, 2:02:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x004e7A848a2F6A878da5F2985D64f1F61198bD0b
Net sender
Unknown type
19,999.06 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002a08a5738c760Cca57A4b3F28Da7257982Ca49
Net receiver
Unknown type
19,999.06 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0011d16c5f4801D8d7B2eD4A84fC98D114Cb85b8
Net sender
Unknown type
9,999.06 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x000D225CD8dd257DC2480573CE40AE821C4df337
Net receiver
Unknown type
9,999.06 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x001C0526c0E06D355eFfaDAe52952598852753ba
Net sender
Unknown type
2,687 QUAI across 2 visible rows
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x001C0526c0E06D355eFfaDAe52952598852753ba → 0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
2 repeated flows • 2,687 QUAI
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
50 tx
1,815.77 QUAI • 58 addresses
08/12/2026, 2:01:46 A.M.
-1 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
08/12/2026, 2:00:36 A.M.
+1 min
2 tx
20,499.06 QUAI • 17 addresses
08/12/2026, 2:02:57 A.M.
+2 min
53 tx
58,673.6 QUAI • 70 addresses
08/12/2026, 2:04:07 A.M.
-3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 6 addresses
08/12/2026, 1:59:26 A.M.
+3 min
Best candidate19 tx
66,441.29 QUAI • 32 addresses
08/12/2026, 2:05:20 A.M.
-4 min
1 tx
19,999.06 QUAI • 12 addresses
08/12/2026, 1:58:16 A.M.
-5 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
08/12/2026, 1:57:06 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
19,999.06 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/12/2026, 2:02:22 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x004e7A848a2F6A878da5F2985D64f1F61198bD0b
To: 0x002a08a5738c760Cca57A4b3F28Da7257982Ca49
All transfers in this selected minute
4 transactions
2,187 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/12/2026, 2:02:59 A.M.
From: 0x001C0526c0E06D355eFfaDAe52952598852753ba
To: 0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
Tx: 0x00570032c154742ea4f7b93d5c32ae898d1047862641149275714cdcac760057
9,999.06 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/12/2026, 2:02:59 A.M.
From: 0x0011d16c5f4801D8d7B2eD4A84fC98D114Cb85b8
To: 0x000D225CD8dd257DC2480573CE40AE821C4df337
Tx: 0x0057005144c64fa232df4ccb89758f84456bc880452a2662b1c11801b4fb4897
500 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/12/2026, 2:02:22 A.M.
From: 0x001C0526c0E06D355eFfaDAe52952598852753ba
To: 0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
Tx: 0x003b00599193e4952007160d73090f0c98813c09d6101193448713800ab2bbc0
19,999.06 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/12/2026, 2:02:22 A.M.
From: 0x004e7A848a2F6A878da5F2985D64f1F61198bD0b
To: 0x002a08a5738c760Cca57A4b3F28Da7257982Ca49
Tx: 0x0008001f8b9f50b41594e4322ca3e437d5fc4090e89bd95d3949a5dda82b7c63