Spike bucket
08/12/2026, 12:27:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/12/2026, 12:27:00 A.M. to 08/12/2026, 12:28:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 288.55
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 69% of explained volume
Relative context
0.0x above local average
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
7
Observable rows
7
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
19
Asset volume
288.55 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x003D2640393d6d2422c3B00849b8b539BB8D1688 • 0x00307fD9dB99D00B93Ead6e5518efAC7ed3A9196.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 289 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x003D2640393d6d2422c3B00849b8b539BB8D1688 • 0x00307fD9dB99D00B93Ead6e5518efAC7ed3A9196.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 7 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 08/12/2026, 12:27:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 7 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x003D2640393d6d2422c3B00849b8b539BB8D1688
Net sender
Unknown type
200 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00307fD9dB99D00B93Ead6e5518efAC7ed3A9196
Net receiver
Unknown type
200 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Net receiver
Unknown type
88.55 QUAI across 6 visible rows
0x004eB3e52040e871F789BF121B414c4b34A7b637
Net sender
Unknown type
45.57 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00570Ada40BFabECe2047797D415bB02e57a427f
Net sender
Unknown type
20.16 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
2 tx
201 QUAI • 16 addresses
08/12/2026, 12:26:37 A.M.
+1 min
7 tx
288.55 QUAI • 19 addresses
08/12/2026, 12:27:48 A.M.
-2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
08/12/2026, 12:25:26 A.M.
+2 min
Best candidate1 tx
300,000 QUAI • 16 addresses
08/12/2026, 12:28:58 A.M.
-3 min
1 tx
60.34 QUAI • 2 addresses
08/12/2026, 12:24:16 A.M.
+3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
08/12/2026, 12:30:11 A.M.
-4 min
1 tx
218.01 QUAI • 8 addresses
08/12/2026, 12:23:06 A.M.
+4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
08/12/2026, 12:31:21 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
200 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/12/2026, 12:27:01 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x003D2640393d6d2422c3B00849b8b539BB8D1688
To: 0x00307fD9dB99D00B93Ead6e5518efAC7ed3A9196
All transfers in this selected minute
7 transactions
7.93 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/12/2026, 12:27:30 A.M.
From: 0x002F091677EfB69cA85F15551592764A575C3AeA
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x006b00365827fa5827f1290dae5be7d98200129787b36ab906a0ed8dd760cb36
20.16 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/12/2026, 12:27:30 A.M.
From: 0x00570Ada40BFabECe2047797D415bB02e57a427f
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x00380037d6131f776d104bc8965fef360b1101d47fce640a72a5b973f41a01ab
45.57 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/12/2026, 12:27:30 A.M.
From: 0x004eB3e52040e871F789BF121B414c4b34A7b637
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x0074006c61c17b0c1651bc811ad736ac3428dcd5cfa83e6a6c072bb94de46534
5.52 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/12/2026, 12:27:30 A.M.
From: 0x005182a1cAa86CB99209A4Ba3B3239971BEEA866
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x004b007b538989781e912a4c050d751dbdf44abcae591c5c8758aee8c4468f30
4.72 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/12/2026, 12:27:30 A.M.
From: 0x0077892B1764B8FE3b9d3E733ef80BfD46fC1e31
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x004c005211148ade6be70256336d323ed10687adc2a2c3f9bdc0412863c375e6
4.65 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/12/2026, 12:27:30 A.M.
From: 0x006218653c98DeE29002F0d26DBf7b20Fcdca27b
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x0022001ae35aa7e67c59f0d5134f1ea63b71237b0fe462741200d13a808da664
200 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/12/2026, 12:27:01 A.M.
From: 0x003D2640393d6d2422c3B00849b8b539BB8D1688
To: 0x00307fD9dB99D00B93Ead6e5518efAC7ed3A9196
Tx: 0x004f00429d6565157897f266f19dccb061aac051888da1c81044015ad6a1958d