Spike bucket
08/11/2026, 4:27:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/11/2026, 4:27:00 P.M. to 08/11/2026, 4:28:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 80.78
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 52% of explained volume
Relative context
0.0x above local average
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
6
Observable rows
6
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
17
Asset volume
80.78 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519 • 0x004eB3e52040e871F789BF121B414c4b34A7b637.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 81 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519 • 0x004eB3e52040e871F789BF121B414c4b34A7b637.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 08/11/2026, 4:27:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Net receiver
Unknown type
80.78 QUAI across 6 visible rows
0x004eB3e52040e871F789BF121B414c4b34A7b637
Net sender
Unknown type
42.26 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00570Ada40BFabECe2047797D415bB02e57a427f
Net sender
Unknown type
17.8 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002F091677EfB69cA85F15551592764A575C3AeA
Net sender
Unknown type
7.82 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x007D681158b62f8f3843793004d1abAF52C49a37
Net sender
Unknown type
5.08 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
1 tx
40,000 QUAI • 13 addresses
08/11/2026, 4:26:43 P.M.
-1 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
08/11/2026, 4:25:32 P.M.
+1 min
6 tx
80.78 QUAI • 17 addresses
08/11/2026, 4:27:53 P.M.
+2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
08/11/2026, 4:29:03 P.M.
-3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
08/11/2026, 4:24:22 P.M.
+3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 7 addresses
08/11/2026, 4:30:14 P.M.
-4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
08/11/2026, 4:23:12 P.M.
+4 min
Best candidate2 tx
40,341.29 QUAI • 16 addresses
08/11/2026, 4:31:24 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
42.26 QUAI
Derived whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/11/2026, 4:27:13 P.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x004eB3e52040e871F789BF121B414c4b34A7b637
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
All transfers in this selected minute
6 transactions
42.26 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/11/2026, 4:27:13 P.M.
From: 0x004eB3e52040e871F789BF121B414c4b34A7b637
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x006c00369c1c82ffa998cd84ecce6649037b278a200c1edea56ceb4710deb4ac
5.08 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/11/2026, 4:27:13 P.M.
From: 0x007D681158b62f8f3843793004d1abAF52C49a37
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x007700592ecce49056d68f57ca2bc2d6e1bc8a515717fbd40030e0916b629009
4.21 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/11/2026, 4:27:13 P.M.
From: 0x006218653c98DeE29002F0d26DBf7b20Fcdca27b
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x001e001a2714a754e07ec4e1604ab4596276926112705f774e0bbf56b7fb59d2
3.6 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/11/2026, 4:27:13 P.M.
From: 0x005182a1cAa86CB99209A4Ba3B3239971BEEA866
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x0008000a48048d904321e249e6939451365edb4db7dc96e3206039c7e0259b0c
17.8 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/11/2026, 4:27:13 P.M.
From: 0x00570Ada40BFabECe2047797D415bB02e57a427f
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x005c004942052caee570aa761f305e3651cde19ba96004ead2374a54ce6b3e19
7.82 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/11/2026, 4:27:13 P.M.
From: 0x002F091677EfB69cA85F15551592764A575C3AeA
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x0011001788d08fa90bf01a7d44a58d2242ae59b577abd69c23373af7ade907d4