Spike bucket
08/11/2026, 3:24:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/11/2026, 3:24:00 P.M. to 08/11/2026, 3:25:00 P.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
24% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 4,995.45
Unexplained QUAI: 16,163.27
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 14% of explained volume
Relative context
0.3x above local average
0.6x previous minute
19x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by distributed visible activity.
The spike appears distributed, but some of the bucket still remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
28
Observable rows
8
28.6% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
39
Asset volume
21,158.72 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
medium priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987 • 0x000431e64aa6008591d75B65583d646Ecd5C911a.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + low confidence + 21159 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 27
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987 • 0x000431e64aa6008591d75B65583d646Ecd5C911a.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 8 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 08/11/2026, 3:24:00 P.M.
Coverage gap high (76% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 8 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • observable coverage remains partial (24%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
Gate.io hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
4,995.45 QUAI across 8 visible rows
Known watch context
0x000431e64aa6008591d75B65583d646Ecd5C911a
Net sender
Unknown type
682.68 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00263215E71B295383730Ca46a28166c3AAc3609
Net sender
Unknown type
653.26 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x000f5c2d2500087d3e26357402170042be0367f5
Net sender
Unknown type
649.44 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00186A4a9eED5ec68c319bBe83949c15E7916690
Net sender
Unknown type
648.06 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 4,995.45 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
28 tx
21,158.72 QUAI • 39 addresses
08/11/2026, 3:24:07 P.M.
-1 min
20 tx
32,608.29 QUAI • 32 addresses
08/11/2026, 3:22:54 P.M.
+1 min
1 tx
1,117.72 QUAI • 12 addresses
08/11/2026, 3:25:19 P.M.
-2 min
Best candidate11 tx
460,519.74 QUAI • 22 addresses
08/11/2026, 3:21:43 P.M.
-3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
08/11/2026, 3:20:32 P.M.
+3 min
1 tx
19,998.64 QUAI • 10 addresses
08/11/2026, 3:26:30 P.M.
+4 min
7 tx
94.62 QUAI • 19 addresses
08/11/2026, 3:27:41 P.M.
-5 min
1 tx
19,999.19 QUAI • 12 addresses
08/11/2026, 3:19:21 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
682.68 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/11/2026, 3:24:03 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x000431e64aa6008591d75B65583d646Ecd5C911a
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
8 transactions
574.44 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/11/2026, 3:24:03 P.M.
From: 0x0041164B493EABffaa007A24972a145a8D15eE74
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x00520070f84ef51d2e3aba66ca75c4b54fed4ac2c897ac74118a6baf17fa540a
648.06 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/11/2026, 3:24:03 P.M.
From: 0x00186A4a9eED5ec68c319bBe83949c15E7916690
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x007a0079473e20bfa4bf042d46029f25075f3117fb18eed83a8e20d726b3a6da
630.01 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/11/2026, 3:24:03 P.M.
From: Kryptex miner
0x0016fe34C55A301e7a9108Fc9d413290CE17C1E5
Miner wallet
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x0052002d307e4cc95987ec344cbb7fc9f5ac35a90204ced99d9430dbb01b3958
649.44 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/11/2026, 3:24:03 P.M.
From: 0x000f5c2d2500087d3e26357402170042be0367f5
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x0057003fadad03082ac949d61c894c34a198711c4a3a1e04b44d1be81d1a8736
599.37 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/11/2026, 3:24:03 P.M.
From: 0x001ccE0dD932653B20bCb6Cde6550d3A75aF1953
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x00590033b75887ee2863f249ce54b4f0c8cf77854ea1031e9d832a3fd2523221
653.26 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/11/2026, 3:24:03 P.M.
From: 0x00263215E71B295383730Ca46a28166c3AAc3609
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x002c0075ddb729795531e7c49ce21dece6e5bb5a27684b18dad0d5480270f169
558.21 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/11/2026, 3:24:03 P.M.
From: 0x00108E95e48EDa116826bd70039F9c48690b10BB
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x00550022b8c5801acb8e4ff6f71c8e0ccb796f4fd152a7d36f6c21acd6053cb5
682.68 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/11/2026, 3:24:03 P.M.
From: 0x000431e64aa6008591d75B65583d646Ecd5C911a
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x007b001939fc1ad875c7675de13738607d1e6cbc212438580ac7b7552dc88413