Spike bucket
08/11/2026, 3:06:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/11/2026, 3:06:00 P.M. to 08/11/2026, 3:07:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 89.91
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 67% of explained volume
Relative context
0.0x above local average
0.0x previous minute
0.1x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
2
Observable rows
6
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
16
Asset volume
13.8 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0014E7B8b1954e8988DA0b91850A215B87aD4564 • 0x0044fE4B2dC1a6F917ec3C1bD2152D47c024a840.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 14 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0014E7B8b1954e8988DA0b91850A215B87aD4564 • 0x0044fE4B2dC1a6F917ec3C1bD2152D47c024a840.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 08/11/2026, 3:06:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0014E7B8b1954e8988DA0b91850A215B87aD4564
Net sender
Unknown type
60.04 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0044fE4B2dC1a6F917ec3C1bD2152D47c024a840
Net receiver
Unknown type
60.04 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Net receiver
Unknown type
20.3 QUAI across 4 visible rows
0x005BcE3cc1ceCD870bE5a2fcB6dEc9674FD95c79
Net sender
Unknown type
9.57 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0012fE99c6dE55353F373e1276b27a19d8A0b907
Net receiver
Unknown type
9.57 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
2 tx
13.8 QUAI • 16 addresses
08/11/2026, 3:06:20 P.M.
-1 min
18 tx
844.62 QUAI • 24 addresses
08/11/2026, 3:05:09 P.M.
-2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
08/11/2026, 3:03:59 P.M.
+2 min
8 tx
211.57 QUAI • 20 addresses
08/11/2026, 3:07:34 P.M.
-3 min
50 tx
1,142.17 QUAI • 57 addresses
08/11/2026, 3:02:48 P.M.
+3 min
4 tx
346.29 QUAI • 14 addresses
08/11/2026, 3:08:45 P.M.
-4 min
Best candidate50 tx
1,697.8 QUAI • 60 addresses
08/11/2026, 3:01:37 P.M.
+4 min
1 tx
3.73 QUAI • 10 addresses
08/11/2026, 3:09:56 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
60.04 QUAI
Derived whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/11/2026, 3:06:39 P.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x0014E7B8b1954e8988DA0b91850A215B87aD4564
To: 0x0044fE4B2dC1a6F917ec3C1bD2152D47c024a840
All transfers in this selected minute
6 transactions
3.83 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/11/2026, 3:06:39 P.M.
From: 0x00497AD4cD26d1CAa0F71B6e3f5E6fFFD858881c
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x00210018119b92f6ab1c2ab68d8a6ec722690af00c928a63b472c106fa6ccc47
5.32 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/11/2026, 3:06:39 P.M.
From: 0x002e7a2740849Ea995A97e3d4EEf2640C999D00B
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x0074006202c3197bdded0c53864dc3e7254e2f38bfe41f379aa0cfbf90e7d8c9
5.56 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/11/2026, 3:06:39 P.M.
From: 0x002F091677EfB69cA85F15551592764A575C3AeA
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x004a00268d4f0526cc453fc1d934894795888a24e9cef7f64e423b137ee3e46a
5.59 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/11/2026, 3:06:39 P.M.
From: 0x006cc975514614e26d6C80DA85b887b6e22f6130
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x003b0062fc33143710a6419b6b58e9755ca02063f559eef991b5848ecbfbfd7d
60.04 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/11/2026, 3:06:39 P.M.
From: 0x0014E7B8b1954e8988DA0b91850A215B87aD4564
To: 0x0044fE4B2dC1a6F917ec3C1bD2152D47c024a840
Tx: 0x000600018299fc7e9d4a29089a459e505074ba3172f6daa69d538b7fbbef7dee
9.57 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/11/2026, 3:06:17 P.M.
From: 0x005BcE3cc1ceCD870bE5a2fcB6dEc9674FD95c79
To: 0x0012fE99c6dE55353F373e1276b27a19d8A0b907
Tx: 0x0065001c16411a81c87568506b3b1f897b8eb80be94d9eea182039ab976fe13a