Spike bucket
08/11/2026, 11:06:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/11/2026, 11:06:00 A.M. to 08/11/2026, 11:07:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
15% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 122.49
Unexplained QUAI: 691.01
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 52% of explained volume
Relative context
1.2x above local average
0.5x previous minute
6.6x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
6
Observable rows
8
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
20
Asset volume
813.51 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0014E7B8b1954e8988DA0b91850A215B87aD4564 • 0x0044fE4B2dC1a6F917ec3C1bD2152D47c024a840.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 814 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0014E7B8b1954e8988DA0b91850A215B87aD4564 • 0x0044fE4B2dC1a6F917ec3C1bD2152D47c024a840.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 8 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 08/11/2026, 11:06:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (85% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 8 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • observable coverage remains partial (15%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0014E7B8b1954e8988DA0b91850A215B87aD4564
Net sender
Unknown type
63.19 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0044fE4B2dC1a6F917ec3C1bD2152D47c024a840
Net receiver
Unknown type
63.19 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Net receiver
Unknown type
30.42 QUAI across 5 visible rows
0x0001BA1d467bFA8B5c09C7EAc2E8f8E283667E4B
Net sender
Unknown type
21.4 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0072CC14Cf0F186e4D39bdcEc0056b736Da79B23
Net receiver
Unknown type
21.4 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
6 tx
813.51 QUAI • 20 addresses
08/11/2026, 11:06:02 A.M.
-1 min
21 tx
1,486.43 QUAI • 31 addresses
08/11/2026, 11:04:51 A.M.
+1 min
8 tx
122.49 QUAI • 18 addresses
08/11/2026, 11:07:12 A.M.
-2 min
50 tx
945.65 QUAI • 60 addresses
08/11/2026, 11:03:40 A.M.
+2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
08/11/2026, 11:08:23 A.M.
-4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
08/11/2026, 11:02:27 A.M.
-5 min
Best candidate50 tx
1,972.72 QUAI • 62 addresses
08/11/2026, 11:01:17 A.M.
+5 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
08/11/2026, 11:10:42 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
63.19 QUAI
Derived whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/11/2026, 11:06:47 A.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x0014E7B8b1954e8988DA0b91850A215B87aD4564
To: 0x0044fE4B2dC1a6F917ec3C1bD2152D47c024a840
All transfers in this selected minute
8 transactions
63.19 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/11/2026, 11:06:47 A.M.
From: 0x0014E7B8b1954e8988DA0b91850A215B87aD4564
To: 0x0044fE4B2dC1a6F917ec3C1bD2152D47c024a840
Tx: 0x003f00730868854f4790c015a6c1931513cd60ae4c543fa3fa4951003c112903
21.4 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/11/2026, 11:06:35 A.M.
From: 0x0001BA1d467bFA8B5c09C7EAc2E8f8E283667E4B
To: 0x0072CC14Cf0F186e4D39bdcEc0056b736Da79B23
Tx: 0x001a0022ba18c9ef1cd888d2a7b99acccc060f834f27a79779459c7315365ba5
7.48 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/11/2026, 11:06:35 A.M.
From: 0x005BcE3cc1ceCD870bE5a2fcB6dEc9674FD95c79
To: 0x0012fE99c6dE55353F373e1276b27a19d8A0b907
Tx: 0x005700186f9fb5858e63edcbf00b10c3dd18a31fa6fdc49e910001e9bece6109
6.25 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/11/2026, 11:06:35 A.M.
From: 0x002F091677EfB69cA85F15551592764A575C3AeA
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x00140007feab7a4f5b14feedecfdb82a47f323a11f8c617f1d05c8612577c282
6.58 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/11/2026, 11:06:35 A.M.
From: 0x00093Df76A2EE3Cf4A58d7C6855c1b84df891F9b
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x00790004dd737b47ef2845efd6420ff141f3b14ae0a4283b1795a8995eb2018b
5.94 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/11/2026, 11:06:35 A.M.
From: 0x00673ecBb6b73B2228C33445D9cA88f48D5831DA
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x00420012ccd8c5fcff21e237a5f0978f35d7449c7299e128732c73d03c6fc12e
4.56 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/11/2026, 11:06:35 A.M.
From: 0x00497AD4cD26d1CAa0F71B6e3f5E6fFFD858881c
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x00750005ae6b58573eabedb29e44ad6a32d8f7ca500c7bb52adaabfc8bc4dfc3
7.1 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/11/2026, 11:06:35 A.M.
From: 0x007D681158b62f8f3843793004d1abAF52C49a37
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x0070006f1ea0a1538cc1310366794d6e01ce172b9fc03da0a9ea26b916d01334