Spike bucket
08/11/2026, 2:23:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/11/2026, 2:23:00 A.M. to 08/11/2026, 2:24:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
40% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 1,335.38
Unexplained QUAI: 2,000.61
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 80% of explained volume
Relative context
0.4x above local average
0.2x previous minute
1.3x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
9
Observable rows
3
33.3% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
20
Asset volume
3,335.99 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F • 0x002514cA59ABb8141043e5fda6aea7A8ba9BAD9C.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + low confidence + 3336 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F • 0x002514cA59ABb8141043e5fda6aea7A8ba9BAD9C.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 08/11/2026, 2:23:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (60% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (40%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
Net sender
Unknown type
1,073.61 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002514cA59ABb8141043e5fda6aea7A8ba9BAD9C
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,073.61 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
Net sender
Unknown type
213.91 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00279149c2f7c3783737B79597A7Ceb558D12241
Net receiver
Unknown type
213.91 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
Net sender
Unknown type
47.87 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
9 tx
3,335.99 QUAI • 20 addresses
08/11/2026, 2:23:24 A.M.
-1 min
15 tx
17,471.79 QUAI • 24 addresses
08/11/2026, 2:22:13 A.M.
-2 min
15 tx
4,371.94 QUAI • 25 addresses
08/11/2026, 2:21:01 A.M.
+2 min
9 tx
2,560.07 QUAI • 21 addresses
08/11/2026, 2:24:36 A.M.
-3 min
15 tx
3,005.59 QUAI • 27 addresses
08/11/2026, 2:19:50 A.M.
+3 min
Best candidate31 tx
23,021.18 QUAI • 42 addresses
08/11/2026, 2:25:47 A.M.
-4 min
9 tx
6,226.62 QUAI • 17 addresses
08/11/2026, 2:18:39 A.M.
+4 min
17 tx
9,136.37 QUAI • 30 addresses
08/11/2026, 2:27:00 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
1,073.61 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/11/2026, 2:23:56 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x002514cA59ABb8141043e5fda6aea7A8ba9BAD9C
All transfers in this selected minute
3 transactions
1,073.61 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/11/2026, 2:23:56 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x002514cA59ABb8141043e5fda6aea7A8ba9BAD9C
Tx: 0x00480054d0dad8cbc29ca9be062cc37be6955b0a1441eda228aff5cd1f4d977c
213.91 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/11/2026, 2:23:56 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x00279149c2f7c3783737B79597A7Ceb558D12241
Tx: 0x0023002f91e8032121382dbd4a32a209b1be8a28f835aece1067de456751715c
47.87 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/11/2026, 2:23:56 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x00395DEBD0aB509352fa6FdE57764862B7cf9813
Tx: 0x0070002531d416074f7acc10acd276b83fbf596865ac1d895b31e46ea51a115c
