Spike bucket
08/11/2026, 2:22:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/11/2026, 2:22:00 A.M. to 08/11/2026, 2:23:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
19% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 3,335.99
Unexplained QUAI: 14,135.79
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 41% of explained volume
Relative context
1.8x above local average
4.0x previous minute
5.2x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by multiple visible transfers.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
15
Observable rows
9
60.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
24
Asset volume
17,471.79 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
medium priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752 • 0x00272A3B1850ce2E56DF955b2041FABfCAF3F117.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + low confidence + 17472 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 37
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752 • 0x00272A3B1850ce2E56DF955b2041FABfCAF3F117.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 9 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 08/11/2026, 2:22:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (81% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 9 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • observable coverage remains partial (19%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
Net sender
Unknown type
2,183.7 QUAI across 3 visible rows
0x00272A3B1850ce2E56DF955b2041FABfCAF3F117
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,375.95 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
Net sender
Unknown type
905.53 QUAI across 3 visible rows
0x0024D122C5CcBAC26c45Db649dC45f1b9E952a89
Net receiver
Unknown type
624.09 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00239812dAd1583Bf5C81326E3448F273f6628f2
Net receiver
Unknown type
619.34 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
15 tx
17,471.79 QUAI • 24 addresses
08/11/2026, 2:22:13 A.M.
-1 min
15 tx
4,371.94 QUAI • 25 addresses
08/11/2026, 2:21:01 A.M.
+1 min
9 tx
3,335.99 QUAI • 20 addresses
08/11/2026, 2:23:24 A.M.
-2 min
15 tx
3,005.59 QUAI • 27 addresses
08/11/2026, 2:19:50 A.M.
-3 min
9 tx
6,226.62 QUAI • 17 addresses
08/11/2026, 2:18:39 A.M.
+3 min
9 tx
2,560.07 QUAI • 21 addresses
08/11/2026, 2:24:36 A.M.
+4 min
Best candidate31 tx
23,021.18 QUAI • 42 addresses
08/11/2026, 2:25:47 A.M.
-5 min
20 tx
16,129.96 QUAI • 31 addresses
08/11/2026, 2:17:27 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
1,375.95 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/11/2026, 2:22:39 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x00272A3B1850ce2E56DF955b2041FABfCAF3F117
All transfers in this selected minute
9 transactions
1,375.95 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/11/2026, 2:22:39 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x00272A3B1850ce2E56DF955b2041FABfCAF3F117
Tx: 0x0051002449ae7c6b8c79564ea69552d4edb31ce3ef86c6e8b47eec1a2a07119e
233.39 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/11/2026, 2:22:39 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x0024A7C887159Ccd5d9C9208671BfaA0A01919E7
Tx: 0x001f006eb86af2bc2d2ce595a27a408a1782d80c554669879617ebc3f871a79b
60.28 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/11/2026, 2:22:39 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x0039460BA8AC0161a54F8938e02B34A2e9EbdD9a
Tx: 0x001000508a7aa7be3dbe5a5698e8a964cbe4aa95a8a68f8e91e3c820595abe23
619.34 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/11/2026, 2:22:36 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x00239812dAd1583Bf5C81326E3448F273f6628f2
Tx: 0x0005007dda4ebe5529c2a95cf6bbacacef8aa6b505ca3a81c9629f7a2cdfdd32
104.1 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/11/2026, 2:22:36 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x003835340Da62C918332E647508144EFb394e4c1
Tx: 0x000a003a9033407e1c4c7cd8f5cb103ddcc21108e6077464c3a950e194e3bba7
183.67 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/11/2026, 2:22:36 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x0025c1f0DeA4c465Afdd41cAaB6E2cC6F530A800
Tx: 0x007b0044141fc47990ca44658d2d70b59dfe3fe45d58060dc5e1ec904cbf6bcd
52.8 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/11/2026, 2:22:25 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x0023017E35176D093A766f758b30EE21ccc3d153
Tx: 0x004000452065b202d4817293bfa2b8022a8d90362eb5a43bd952659133b5ee23
624.09 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/11/2026, 2:22:25 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x0024D122C5CcBAC26c45Db649dC45f1b9E952a89
Tx: 0x0072004b50cf573d5086737393b454745ad518cad0fd2d85e404c122d07f3ab8
82.37 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/11/2026, 2:22:25 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x0037287D2c1251a5528BAE4dB8Bbc9DDEdAC4bA5
Tx: 0x001e007464a7f96fbe3551aad4957196ba0e330405fc8d6baed3f7bc778d53a3
