Spike bucket
08/11/2026, 2:19:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/11/2026, 2:19:00 A.M. to 08/11/2026, 2:20:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
medium confidence
60% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 1,808.86
Unexplained QUAI: 1,196.73
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 29% of explained volume
Relative context
0.3x above local average
0.2x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by distributed visible activity.
The spike appears distributed, but some of the bucket still remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
15
Observable rows
9
60.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
27
Asset volume
3,005.59 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
medium priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752 • 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + medium confidence + 3006 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 35
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752 • 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: medium • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 9 visible transfer rows
Confidence medium • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Partial source coverage
Last updated: 08/11/2026, 2:19:00 A.M.
Coverage gap moderate (40% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 9 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
Net sender
Unknown type
827.86 QUAI across 3 visible rows
0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
Net sender
Unknown type
589.02 QUAI across 3 visible rows
0x0018e45de2522b2806B9ac345ab81F4cDD8B7693
Net receiver
Unknown type
527.66 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
Net sender
Unknown type
391.99 QUAI across 3 visible rows
0x0017e043bC29e32850Bf62db9A38E53A989708d7
Net receiver
Unknown type
312.49 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
9 tx
6,226.62 QUAI • 17 addresses
08/11/2026, 2:18:39 A.M.
+1 min
15 tx
3,005.59 QUAI • 27 addresses
08/11/2026, 2:19:50 A.M.
-2 min
20 tx
16,129.96 QUAI • 31 addresses
08/11/2026, 2:17:27 A.M.
+2 min
15 tx
4,371.94 QUAI • 25 addresses
08/11/2026, 2:21:01 A.M.
-3 min
16 tx
11,502.45 QUAI • 27 addresses
08/11/2026, 2:16:16 A.M.
+3 min
Best candidate15 tx
17,471.79 QUAI • 24 addresses
08/11/2026, 2:22:13 A.M.
-4 min
19 tx
9,785.82 QUAI • 33 addresses
08/11/2026, 2:15:04 A.M.
+4 min
9 tx
3,335.99 QUAI • 20 addresses
08/11/2026, 2:23:24 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
527.66 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/11/2026, 2:19:19 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x0018e45de2522b2806B9ac345ab81F4cDD8B7693
All transfers in this selected minute
9 transactions
38.98 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/11/2026, 2:19:47 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x001A03928b4eC613Be64796727C3a13704162416
Tx: 0x00350005016670665797d9dd6a7b8d2a8a9adc2c92936d052d05cb93e41967b1
232.32 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/11/2026, 2:19:47 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x0026310f1963Bf08EaD7028ad5A4533AC987A38B
Tx: 0x0061005983babbb0f3226229393454f961167c0107a12f23d8138cb650163ad2
253.91 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/11/2026, 2:19:47 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x001bF75Ff70E9e14c0d8e59f260986DD82b56166
Tx: 0x001e001641cd288569deba324eb4ac3261659509c7ab9385653e6010bdbb42c5
46.3 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/11/2026, 2:19:22 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x001B4D7a22CCec44bd2569c5301ca25b47589eb0
Tx: 0x0051002c6ca902fdf5ea92596a47276b318ad63ae182c7056bb3c9d3ebda72b2
40.52 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/11/2026, 2:19:22 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x0019E7335eeaFA078cE009813473919390AcfF96
Tx: 0x0048003186693f2f3c7f6e5d60be85efeb0c8e5f79c44d9b0999132844611850
236.21 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/11/2026, 2:19:22 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x0025E8476A4d9B0a14A490d982899384F3e42437
Tx: 0x00550057cf666582b6e08700212671b4c17aeb9228d184ea89a0d1df4ba3d620
120.49 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/11/2026, 2:19:19 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x0024D122C5CcBAC26c45Db649dC45f1b9E952a89
Tx: 0x003f00328d99e6f416e1aebf7626ca1d8542fa6c438002e5da79e6a41b4f8e21
527.66 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/11/2026, 2:19:19 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x0018e45de2522b2806B9ac345ab81F4cDD8B7693
Tx: 0x0042000470f007aff381b4832e0ec497f8b286b9864fa8dd8861830a24f60e89
312.49 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/11/2026, 2:19:19 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x0017e043bC29e32850Bf62db9A38E53A989708d7
Tx: 0x0047000d7bc90b2fd05bd3a7c9c59e9209e1d3eaddc449cc17ad0486304ac996
