Spike bucket
08/11/2026, 1:13:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/11/2026, 1:13:00 A.M. to 08/11/2026, 1:14:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 42,297.6
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 47% of explained volume
Relative context
1.3x above local average
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
4
Observable rows
5
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
13
Asset volume
22,298.55 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x004e7A848a2F6A878da5F2985D64f1F61198bD0b • 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 22299 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x004e7A848a2F6A878da5F2985D64f1F61198bD0b • 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 08/11/2026, 1:13:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x004e7A848a2F6A878da5F2985D64f1F61198bD0b
Net sender
Unknown type
19,999.05 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
Net receiver
Unknown type
19,999.05 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0004bd2675df7f120FfF0F14a31E203C449B4B81
Net sender
Unknown type
19,999.05 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002a08a5738c760Cca57A4b3F28Da7257982Ca49
Net receiver
Unknown type
19,999.05 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Net receiver
Unknown type
2,299.5 QUAI across 3 visible rows
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
08/11/2026, 1:12:44 A.M.
-1 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
08/11/2026, 1:11:34 A.M.
+1 min
4 tx
22,298.55 QUAI • 13 addresses
08/11/2026, 1:13:54 A.M.
+2 min
1 tx
19,999.05 QUAI • 11 addresses
08/11/2026, 1:15:05 A.M.
-3 min
1 tx
1,022.44 QUAI • 11 addresses
08/11/2026, 1:10:23 A.M.
+3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 8 addresses
08/11/2026, 1:16:16 A.M.
-4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
08/11/2026, 1:09:11 A.M.
+4 min
Best candidate2 tx
96,373.79 QUAI • 12 addresses
08/11/2026, 1:17:26 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
19,999.05 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/11/2026, 1:13:54 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x004e7A848a2F6A878da5F2985D64f1F61198bD0b
To: 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
All transfers in this selected minute
5 transactions
19,999.05 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/11/2026, 1:13:54 A.M.
From: 0x004e7A848a2F6A878da5F2985D64f1F61198bD0b
To: 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
Tx: 0x007d003fc4d3645431d78b2a4303eed462334c647e8502ba2a293073b072f009
19,999.05 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/11/2026, 1:13:02 A.M.
From: 0x0004bd2675df7f120FfF0F14a31E203C449B4B81
To: 0x002a08a5738c760Cca57A4b3F28Da7257982Ca49
Tx: 0x005100280daec6dd3aa099b5d257d2e1a68af06536173e88a2cabe79d87248ee
7.56 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/11/2026, 1:13:02 A.M.
From: 0x00093Df76A2EE3Cf4A58d7C6855c1b84df891F9b
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x00710060df954939f851cc558dee257b49dbaccee437c8f2b6e031f4f529d8b3
1,762.77 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/11/2026, 1:13:02 A.M.
From: 0x00615EA4D5418f647154C527Ce2057021A32cBf8
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x0052000cb5b57585ed904b8e564240673e552485a95fc89bd992b2d5fdaba91a
529.17 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/11/2026, 1:13:02 A.M.
From: 0x006B2D6e1424bC02db1691625CbdAfCD97f89366
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x0022002ac2492f74ad615a6ec291991ca4dfd6dace144075d66c3f42249d34f1
