Spike bucket
08/11/2026, 12:12:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/11/2026, 12:12:00 A.M. to 08/11/2026, 12:13:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
4% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 8.58
Unexplained QUAI: 228.24
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 55% of explained volume
Relative context
3.3x above local average
88x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
2
Observable rows
2
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
14
Asset volume
236.82 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519 • 0x00585160E8466d30d02Bb3b2fBE7d929ac62D556.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 237 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519 • 0x00585160E8466d30d02Bb3b2fBE7d929ac62D556.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 08/11/2026, 12:12:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (96% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (4%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Net receiver
Unknown type
8.58 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x00585160E8466d30d02Bb3b2fBE7d929ac62D556
Net sender
Unknown type
4.75 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00673ecBb6b73B2228C33445D9cA88f48D5831DA
Net sender
Unknown type
3.83 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
08/11/2026, 12:11:30 A.M.
+1 min
Best candidate2 tx
236.82 QUAI • 14 addresses
08/11/2026, 12:12:40 A.M.
-2 min
1 tx
2.69 QUAI • 10 addresses
08/11/2026, 12:10:20 A.M.
+2 min
3 tx
212 QUAI • 15 addresses
08/11/2026, 12:13:51 A.M.
-3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
08/11/2026, 12:09:10 A.M.
+3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 9 addresses
08/11/2026, 12:15:02 A.M.
-4 min
1 tx
130.61 QUAI • 12 addresses
08/11/2026, 12:07:59 A.M.
+4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
08/11/2026, 12:16:12 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
4.75 QUAI
Derived whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/11/2026, 12:12:49 A.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x00585160E8466d30d02Bb3b2fBE7d929ac62D556
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
All transfers in this selected minute
2 transactions
3.83 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/11/2026, 12:12:49 A.M.
From: 0x00673ecBb6b73B2228C33445D9cA88f48D5831DA
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x001d0046a4c3f974ec2accdd2284c9d0c87b46ef7ffd0629f904400d16758faf
4.75 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/11/2026, 12:12:49 A.M.
From: 0x00585160E8466d30d02Bb3b2fBE7d929ac62D556
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x003e004cfa9fbc4335bc3c353f85ff84052be11a99a2dd41781cfedf0858e28b
